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The modern Democratic Party, and liberalism itself, is to a substantial extent a bastion of college-educated, upper-middle-class professionals, people for whom Biden-era inflation is unpleasant but rarely calamitous. Poor, working-class, and lower-middle-class people experience a different reality. They carry the searing memories of the Great Recession and its foreclosure crisis, when millions of American households lost their home. A large number of these Americans worked in person during the dolorous early days of the pandemic, and saw its toll up close. And since 2019, they’ve weathered 20 percent inflation and now rising interest rates—which means they’ve lost more than a fifth of their purchasing power. Tell these Americans that the economy is humming, that median wage growth has nudged ahead of the core inflation rate, and that everything’s grand, and you’re likely to see a roll of the eyes.
The Democratic party has five major support groups, four of which are not tethered in the real world faced by Main Street America, all of which support the Democratic Party at 90% or more of their group:
- Hollyweird
- Wall Street
- Academia
- Technologists
- Black people
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[quote quote=8305]The modern Democratic Party, and liberalism itself, is to a substantial extent a bastion of college-educated, upper-middle-class professionals, people for whom Biden-era inflation is unpleasant but rarely calamitous. Poor, working-class, and lower-middle-class people experience a different reality. They carry the searing memories of the Great Recession and its foreclosure crisis, when millions of American households lost their home. A large number of these Americans worked in person during the dolorous early days of the pandemic, and saw its toll up close. And since 2019, they’ve weathered 20 percent inflation and now rising interest rates—which means they’ve lost more than a fifth of their purchasing power. Tell these Americans that the economy is humming, that median wage growth has nudged ahead of the core inflation rate, and that everything’s grand, and you’re likely to see a roll of the eyes. The Democratic party has five major support groups, four of which are not tethered in the real world faced by Main Street America, all of which support the Democratic Party at 90% or more of their group:
- Hollyweird
- Wall Street
- Academia
- Technologists
- Black people
[/quote]According to several recent polls, Black people are no longer in the group of 90%+, at least with regard to Joe Biden himself. I’ve seen results showing anywhere from 22% up to 35% of the Black vote going to Trump
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I think that’s for the black male vote. Likely black voter support is over 90% still.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: [Among respondents who voted in the 2018, 2020 and 2022 GE]
🟦 Biden 50% (+11)
🟥 Trump 39%
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Voted once since 2018
🟥 Trump 45% (+12)
🟦 Biden 33%
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voted in none of those three elections
🟥 Trump 44% (+18)
🟦 Biden 26%
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AP/NORC | 2/20-3/18 | n=2,462… pic.twitter.com/4xUPm7uuBw— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 14, 2024
That is, the activist class and the votes that get harvested / early voters will continue to build a blue wall that will be difficult to overcome. It used to be that Republicans were better at grabbing absentee voters and military votes (the bankable vote, when the rules were that they had to be mailed well before election day). Now it’s a free for all.
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Presidential Voting Results Last two elections Republican Democrat 2020 74,223,975 81,283,501 2016 62,984,828 65,853,514 11,239,147 15,429,987 Trump received 11.2 million more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016. Biden received 15.4 million more than HRC over that same period.
There were approx. 245 million adults in America in 2016, rising to 252 million by 2020, an increase of about 3%. Yet the number of voters increased almost 20%.
I wonder why?
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