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rogpodge
ParticipantEvery piece of data from real-life shows the vaccines work very, very well— yes, even against Delta. Just checked US vaccine breakthrough hospitalizations. It's 6,587 people among the ~163,000,000 vaccinated: or 0.004%. Three fourths are elderly— as happens with other diseases. https://t.co/TmZkxRlETk pic.twitter.com/fUaTyXprey
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) August 1, 2021
Here’s more data on “breakthrough” infections. What are we doing and why?
rogpodge
ParticipantWhite House: Here's the data we are basing our new frightening covid policy on
Media: This data is frightening!
WH: Wait, no, stop. Don't say that
Media: Same viral loads!
WH: No but–
Media: THREE QUARTERS OF INFECTED ARE VACCINATED!
WH: Can we blame Tucker for this?
— Noam Blum (@neontaster) July 31, 2021
This is a great summary of what happened (without the White House basically saying we’re imposing new restrictions for… reasons (because “health experts have determined” and “you don’t need to know why” and “we’re following the science”).
rogpodge
ParticipantA more balanced view, this time discussing the relative correlations between certain variables. Hey, actual journalism instead of political journactivism.
rogpodge
Participantrogpodge
ParticipantA lot of people are saying it’s more than stress (it may be stress-induced, but it’s more than just feeling stressed). They’re saying Biles experienced aerial disorientation, which would explain her landing and bailing out on the skill on the vault. Basically, if you can’t orient yourself in the air, you can’t do a bunch of stuff in gymnastics (high bar, uneven bars). She might be okay on floor exercise, but even those flips would be risky if she’s lost her ability to orient to the ground.
I hope she gets her head right. Natasha Luskin said Biles was on the way to training to see if she could give it a go for the all-around and individual events.
rogpodge
ParticipantI was told this was court-packing.
rogpodge
ParticipantJust curious, what’s the correlation coefficient (r) of the data? There seems to be a lot of noise in that chart. It would be easy to “find” a correlation with political party and ignore stronger correlations to other factors / variables. Why isn’t that in the study? Probably because the journalists / “academics” wanted to find a result and found it. I could probably get a stronger correlation to, say, income, education, autoimmune disease incidence, and population density.
That being said, isn’t the solution simple, given your one-variable way of thinking? Give Trump credit for the vaccines.
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This reply was modified 5 years, 3 months ago by
rogpodge.
rogpodge
ParticipantThis blog does a good job of aggregating and analyzing the information. It also provides “misery index” (unemployment + inflation) and predictions based on various factors (and the Fed’s actions).
Of interest, the current inflation trend is outpacing even the most extreme inflation scenario. YET THE FED WANTS TO HOLD RATES LOW.
July 1, 2021 at 5:12 pm in reply to: Climate Change may have contributed to Miami Building Collapse. #4909rogpodge
ParticipantThat’s the problem with modern journalism. Everything has to have a political angle to it, and blame must be assigned. You had Ken Klippenstein from “The Intercept” trying to blame DeSantis’ deregulation event in 2019 for the building collapse. It was a licensing reform event, and would not have affected the inspection of the building or prevented the HOA from ignoring problems relating to a poorly designed pool drainage system. You have Sec. Granholm trying to blame it on climate change. Why don’t people wait for the actual investigation and evidence before trying to assign blame? (Well, because journos want to play the blame game immediately, and often to further a political agenda, rather than to get a scoop).
rogpodge
ParticipantAs soon as the trial court dismissed the claim of immunity, I thought the verdict was in trouble.
That’s the problem with giving immunity (and why there are so many processes and levels of review generally to obtain it). Also, it’s an area where most courts are going to construe any ambiguity against the government most of the time.
rogpodge
ParticipantRussian army ad vs US army ad
2021pic.twitter.com/tGQeY3dJa6— Pardes Seleh (@PardesSeleh) May 19, 2021
rogpodge
ParticipantProducer Price Index increased by double what was predicted (.6%, expected .3%).
Part of this is explained by the drop in prices (some deflation) last year in the first months of the pandemic. BUT we’ve got supply and demand issues at this point, and inflation is a regressive tax on the poor. Unfortunately, we don’t teach economics or math anymore, so the average voter won’t care.
rogpodge
ParticipantCould also be related to this:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/05/chinas-digital-yuan-what-is-it-and-how-does-it-work.html
I feel like I’ve missed the crypto train, but every time I turn around, I think it’s a better and better idea.
rogpodge
ParticipantNew York is about to give us a natural experiment on raising taxes and the limits of tolerance of incompetent government.
https://nypost.com/2021/04/05/concern-4b-in-tax-hikes-in-ny-budget-deal-will-cause-exodus/
Of course, journalists believe that millionaires are an endless supply of revenue (tack on a wealth tax, and … whee!).
https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article250360616.html
Millionaire’s Tax Bill Would Create Additional Tax on CA Millionaires
To be clear, I’m nowhere near paying any of these taxes. But I believe that we should be encouraging everyone, no matter how poor, to save money and invest. The war on savings essentially eliminates the easiest path to upward mobility for most people. To be fair, some of the initial proposals were dead on arrival, but look at this list!
rogpodge
ParticipantScott Adams (yes, the Dilbert guy) says that the longer Trump is out of office, the better he will look. So far, so good.
My brother tried the “they’re (the international community) laughing at us” early in the Trump presidency. I pointed out that Trudeau can jab and laugh BEHIND TRUMP’S BACK all he wants, but NO ONE respect him. Trudeau has turned out to be a more ineffectual, openly ridiculed leader than Trump. No one respects Trudeau, especially the communities he tries to pander to (see his India trip). At least with Trump, you knew what the other leaders were doing (they knew they could score easy media points by making fun of Trump, while fearing his effectiveness). Quite frankly, the whole Anchorage / China thing proved to me that Obama was right, Biden is a foreign policy disaster. When Mexico is yearning for Trump, you know you are terrible. Wanting to get back into the Iran deal… um, why? There’s literally no reason to accommodate an untrustworthy and disruptive regime that doesn’t help us in the least. The Abraham accords showed us that the Middle East is realigning, and we can either be on the right side of it / facilitating it, or… do whatever Biden is doing (resuming payments to the Palestinians? Getting back into the Iran deal? Why not just directly fund terrorism in the Middle East?).
As for Kamala, she dropped out because she was running behind Andrew Yang in California. She’s a terrible politician who benefited from California’s social promotion for Democrats program until Biden committed himself to a female, African-American vice president. She’s a demonstrated liar, completely inauthentic, a prosecutor who jumps to conclusions without evaluating evidence, and someone who will say anything to win an election (and still puts her foot into her mouth on a routine basis). Also of note, the media runs cover for her / promotes her, and she knows she will not be held accountable by them. The media is already preparing the general public for the 25th Amendment proceedings.
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This reply was modified 5 years, 3 months ago by
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