A Bit of Polling Reality……….Catch Your Breath

Homepage Forums Current Events Board A Bit of Polling Reality……….Catch Your Breath

Viewing 4 reply threads
  • Author
    Posts
    • #1674
      Rocky17Rocky17
      Participant

      All the left wing networks and news media put out polling results done by left wing organizations like Quinnipiac, Google Survey, the network surveys including Fox (which is terribly inaccurate), Survey Monkey and the like.  They ALL poll more Dems than R’s and always skew the results by the area they poll in, the means of the poll (cell phone) and other variations guaranteed to skew left.  The ONLY national poll Rassmussen has Trump ahead.  Monmouth is usually the most accurate.  Of note is that in EVERY battleground state poll in which R and D are represented equally, Trump is winning big.  No predictions here but I would still put my money on Trump and would wager that after the debates, it will not even be close.

      https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jul31

      https://www.redstate.com/nick-arama/2020/07/31/poll-huge-number-of-americans-concerned-about-the-violence-who-they-blame-is-not-good-for-biden/

    • #1676
      rjnwmillrjnwmill
      Participant

      That’s my gut as well Rocky. And the VP choice will hurt Biden materially. There’s no one on the “list”/in the party that fits his parameters who will have a positive impact.

      An African American woman?  That community is not positively viewed by Hispanics, Asians, or many honkies with the violence and the shortcomings in the educational system.

      That basement Rocky, is the corner he’s painted himself into.

      Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
      Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

    • #1677
      Rocky17Rocky17
      Participant

      The issues are against them.  The programs put forth by the left, despite the patent and obvious failure to report on them by the MSM, all clearly favor the Republicans.  Defunding the police plays to hardly anyone but the rabid left;  environmental radicalism is anathema to union membership and would cost millions of jobs;  increasing taxes plays poorly with the middle class.

    • #1678
      AvatarRoscoeMaynard
      Participant

      nationwide polling data is freaking useless.  Scony, Floda, NH, NV, Penn and Michi…and what we learned in 2016, is alot of people lie to the polls.  With the possible exception of Iowa or Ohio or Zona, pretty much nowhere else matters.  I don’t need to know what Texas or California or Missouri says in polling data.  Right left or otherwise, Scony, Flo’da, NH, NV Penn and Michi and I don’t think anyone knows what is going on there, other than the economy is ugly, congress is ugly, the president is a douche bag and biden is an idiot too.

    • #1682
      Avatargpn38
      Participant

      I don’t look at polls until after Labor Day.
      I can’t believe that pollsters will knowingly skew their parameters to reflect their preferences. Why wouldn’t Quinnipiac, Monmouth etc…adjust their  sampling methods to be more accurate. They must have faith in  their results otherwise they are stupid or disingenuous or both.

      polls always tighten up later in the race. If they are within the margin of error by then, you will be correct as many voters are intimidated by the mob that they do indeed lie to pollsters.

      finally , I second Roscoe in focusing on a few states that matter.

Viewing 4 reply threads
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.