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NYT/Siena says Trump ahead in Arizona by 5 which is a nine-point flip from August (Harris was ahead by four). Also says Trump has a 4-point lead in Georgia, while Harris ahead by six in Wisconsin.
Swing State Poll ‘Isn’t So Welcome’ for Democrats, Nate Silver Says
Quinnipiac says Trump is ahead nationwide
Trump edges ahead of Harris in new national Quinnipiac poll
Gallup says the political environment this year favors Republicans for the presidency. Why?
- Biden’s low approval rating (39%)
- 22% of Americans say they aren’t satisfied with country’s direction
- GOP better at keeping country prosperous (55% to 44%)
- Consumer confidence biggest one-month decline since August 2021 (105.6 to 98.7). Dow Jones consensus forecast was for 104! Index peak rating was 132.6 a month before COVID.
Political environment favors Republicans: Gallup
Even the CNN/SRSS poll conducted in the last week shows Harris at 48% and Trump at 47%:
Harris at 48%, Trump at 47% in latest CNN/SSRS poll
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I am not moved by polls, but it’s amazing to me that the Democrats haven’t been skewered more for the Biden subterfuge. His decline is profound and absent the early debate they would still have the charade carrying on.
Harris herself has looked better in debate and interviews than I expected. Even the “word salad” moments she has had haven’t been as bad for non partisans. Right wing memers jumped on her closing statement with Oprah but it wasn’t as bad as they wanted it to be. Empty? Yes. Incoherent? Not really.
but what do I know? I grew up in a middle class family.
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Sic transit gloria mundi (so shut up and get back to work) -
I am not moved by polls, but it’s amazing to me that the Democrats haven’t been skewered more for the Biden subterfuge. His decline is profound and absent the early debate they would still have the charade carrying on. Harris herself has looked better in debate and interviews than I expected. Even the “word salad” moments she has had haven’t been as bad for non partisans. Right wing memers jumped on her closing statement with Oprah but it wasn’t as bad as they wanted it to be. Empty? Yes. Incoherent? Not really. but what do I know? I grew up in a middle class family.
Were both your parents PhD’s as well? :-P. KH is the first middle class person I’ve ever met with two PhD parents…
She was born in Oakland, but lived in Berkeley…not Oakland. She didn’t live in Oakland until she was a young adult. And at age 12, Harris moved to Westmount (Montreal) one of the wealthiest neighborhoods in all of Canada.
Incidentally, during the Democratic National Convention and the obligatory screen show of her childhood home, the screen read “East Bay” not “Berkeley.”
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I like to read British news because American “news” media is so polarized, whether it’s Fox, CNN, MSNBC or one of the networks.
The Daily Mail’s most recent survey indicates that Trump opened up a 10 point lead in their model, giving Trump a 55.2% chance of victory and Harris a 44.6% chance (slim chance of a tie).
This is a four-point increase since Monday and nine points over his post-debate low.
This is given Harris’s incipient weaknesses in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. She has to win all three of those states to win the election. Right now, the model gives Trump a 58% chance of winning PA.
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Daily Mirror claims that Trump has a 13 point lead in their model.
Trump takes a 13-point lead in election prediction model (msn.com)
Quinnipiac and Emerson surveys have Trump building support in swing states:
New Swing State Polls Show Trump Gaining Momentum (msn.com)
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[quote quote=9039]I am not moved by polls, but it’s amazing to me that the Democrats haven’t been skewered more for the Biden subterfuge. His decline is profound and absent the early debate they would still have the charade carrying on. [/quote]
In a normal society, that subterfuge would be criminal. It still should be. He still holds the keys to the kingdom.
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In a normal society, that subterfuge would be criminal. It still should be. He still holds the keys to the kingdom.
Not sure if this is an adequate explanation, but I’ve noticed that American politicians no longer attempt to prevaricate or explain a particularly nefarious position. They “rag-doll” the issue, literally just go limp and don’t respond. James Bennett, senior editor for the New York Times, who called out the NYT for getting a lot of things wrong about Trump and other conservative causes — demonstrably, embarrassingly wrong — and the editor felt, quite strongly, that the NYT should apologize for their shoddy, inaccurate reporting and outright lies and caving to the woke mob. He was fired.
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Daily Mirror claims that Trump has a 13 point lead in their model. Trump takes a 13-point lead in election prediction model (msn.com) Quinnipiac and Emerson surveys have Trump building support in swing states: New Swing State Polls Show Trump Gaining Momentum (msn.com)
The Telegraph says that liberals are starting to panic.
Liberals are starting to panic. Donald Trump is going to win in a landslide (msn.com)
Best line: 60 Minutes ran a preview of its interview with Harris that prominently included one of her signature no-calorie word salad emissions.
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Even if it a landslide, libs will be in denial wondering how they could have lost the election. My answer will be, like it was in 2016, put up someone worth voting for and YOU win by a landslide.
On another note, loved these lines from the Telegraph.
Let’s just say that none appears to be a poster child for masculinity. The comments have been brutal. “Zero testosterone was used in the making of this ad”; “A Real Man instantly realises that there isn’t a single Real Man in this pathetic beta male cringe-fest of a propaganda video”; “From the party that can’t tell you what a woman is”; “As a man, I think I walked away from this ad with a yeast infection.” -
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Some Black voters in Georgia are moving towards Trump.
‘Now I like him’: Some Black voters in Georgia see Trump as a real option (msn.com)
Biden won 88% of the Black vote in a state that he only narrowly won in 2020. Article notes that Harris has a hard time capturing male voters. Shocking, I know.
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Emerson national poll, 1,000 likely voters shows KHarris’ lead down to 1% at 49% to 48%. At this point in 2020, Biden’s lead was 4% in the same poll…
Kamala Harris Gets Bad Sign from New National Poll (msn.com)
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