- This topic has 10 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 9 months ago by
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Channeling my inner Mick. If the Current polls are correct, there will be a downstream pull towards the Ds as the suburban Philadelphia housewives now affectionately known as Karen’s by the woke crowd, will want to punish the MEAN Republicans.
Biden/ AA woman at the top of the ticket. Center Left to far Left pull.
Shumer as Senate boss. Center Left and
Pelosi in charge of the house Far Left.
what a governance clusterfuck. Specially with regards to the economy. But hey, we deserve it right?. -
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Well, I said right after the ‘16 election that Trumps enduring legacy would be to move the country left. He is the best thing that has happened to the left since Castro. He’s the Jimmy Carter of the GOP.
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[quote quote=906]Well, I said right after the ‘16 election that Trumps enduring legacy would be to move the country left. He is the best thing that has happened to the left since Castro. He’s the Jimmy Carter of the GOP.[/quote]
Lex, I think that’s a prescient take. The Carter comparison is a good one, just on a lot of different axes (he’s actually not that wrong on policy, but he’s mean…Carter was really nice but an awful president because of policy).
I’m thinking a dem sweep is a distinct possibility. I’d put Biden at 80% likely to win, the house at 95% likely to stay Dem, and the senate at 50/50. Only way that changes is if people wake up and realize that Democrat leaders letting mobs run free in society will eventually get to their doorstep.
The brutal reality is things are far worse in the country for all the things the left has done to oppose Trump, and not because of Trump from any policy perspective. Business was good. Trade was good. Taxation was modest. The deficit was an unspoken deal between the parties. The supreme court is functional, immigration has been somewhat checked but not stopped (pre-COVID at least), criminal justice reform passed, healthcare exchanges are still operating, foreign policy has been a string of decent singles if not home runs (ISIS, Afghanistan, NoKo, China, Latin America, even the EU).
And that’s really odd.
The opposition building opposition on demagoguery alone is a sad state of affairs (and not new). The reality is the left is out of ideas, and it only has sarcasm and hate to fall back on.
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Sic transit gloria mundi (so shut up and get back to work) -
This is a very dynamic environment and I agree with your percentages today PL. But will Joe stay at 80% if he doesn’t go out in public and campaign. BTW, I am not criticizing the strategy. It is ingenious. As long as it is a referendum on trump, the Orange one loses, if there is a contrast made, he might survive.
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[quote quote=921]This is a very dynamic environment and I agree with your percentages today PL. But will Joe stay at 80% if he doesn’t go out in public and campaign. BTW, I am not criticizing the strategy. It is ingenious. As long as it is a referendum on trump, the Orange one loses, if there is a contrast made, he might survive.[/quote]
Biden has to convince residents in enough states that he’s offering a return to the “good old days”. The economic impact of changing lifestyles driven by the virus will facilitate his narrative. Certain industries, travel, leisure and hospitality will be be slow to recover, if they ever do.
But he remains a bent and senile incompetent. That provides a whole lot of low hanging fruit.
Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long -
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Trump’s failure of leadership on Covid-19 is catastrophic. It is almost impossible to politicize a pandemic (viruses have no friends), but he has managed to do so. The FBI malfeasance might be a major story in a different climate. But it is irrelevant. I think Donald Trump is going to depart the stage in November, and thank God for that. His achievements are dwarfed by his deliberate divisiveness.
As for tilting leftward, Barack Obama swept into office in 2008 with majorities in both Houses. There was great concern about a leftward turning. It lasted all of one session.
I do think Universal Basic Income (UBI), first cousin to my beloved Net Wealth Tax, is an inevitability, given the stressors on the economy. That, however, is not necessarily a Leftward or socialist measure (!!), any more than social security or unemployment insurance.
I wouldn't give you two cents for all your fancy rules if, behind them, they didn't have a little bit of plain, ordinary, everyday kindness - yeah, and a little looking out for the other fella, too.
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[quote quote=933]Trump’s failure of leadership on Covid-19 is catastrophic. It is almost impossible to politicize a pandemic (viruses have no friends), but he has managed to do so. The FBI malfeasance might be a major story in a different climate. But it is irrelevant. I think Donald Trump is going to depart the stage in November, and thank God for that. His achievements are dwarfed by his deliberate divisiveness. [/quote]
What is one to believe? I read on TOS that you’re a Trump loving sycophant that sees no wrong with the Donald. . . .
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