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If Trafalgar is anywhere near as good as they were in the 2016 cycle, Orange looks good. Key differences between Trafalgar and 538 base cases is that 538 has Biden favored in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Florida & North Carolina.
Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long -
I just ran a lucid ( head not heart) analysis and I have Orange at 278. I am relying on Trafalgar and I hope Cahill has something new up his sleeve this time around. I am a little annoyed that they have reached notoriety as I liked having them as my secret pollster when I bet on POTUS last time.
Since we are at it, I predict Rs keep the Senate 51-49.Pelosi remains as your Speaker.
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