Main reason Biden will win

[Mick]

16 million new voters.  Three in four are Dems.

Seeya, Donnie.

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/523199-new-voters-surge-to-the-polls

[cardcrimson]

The main reason is that he’s had to battle not only Biden, but the moderators, the press, the Spanish Inquisition, threats since day -45 to impeach 45, government collusion, etc.

The second reason is he’s a boor.

That said, I’ll be stunned if Biden is President this time next year. Without Trump to bash, the press will actually start to do their job and dig into the corruption that is the Bidens. It will be President Harris. . . .

Heaven help us.

[Rocky17]

All I can tell you is that what I have been told on RCP, Fox and other sites not part of the MSM that Republicans have out registered Democrats with new voters in Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan and N Carolina.  I have not heard any stats other than Mick`s for any other states.

[rjnwmill]

Mick, how do you evaluate this fellows insight, “The central through thread from all of our conversations with young people throughout the year and the polls, whether ours or anyone else’s, [is that] they are more motivated to vote than ever before,” said Ben Wessel, executive director of NextGen America, a group funded by Tom Steyerthat works to turn out younger voters. 

Tom didn’t get too far with his $500 million investment in his own campaign. Did his minions get real smart all of a sudden. I mean he couldn’t get past Biden/Clyburn et al?

How about this fellow who’s viewpoint/analysis is cited repeatedly? “Tom Bonier is a veteran Democratic political strategist and TargetSmart’s Chief Executive Officer. Prior to TargetSmart, Tom co-founded Clarity Campaign Labs in 2012 and helped build it into one of the nation’s leading Democratic analytics and research firms. He has spent more than 20 years working in Democratic and progressive politics.  Tom’s tool, “Insights” grew out of TargetSmart analyses of 2018 voter data that we were performing internally and for our clients.”  No mention of Tom’s relative prescience in 2016?

Mick, do you sense any “preaching to the choir” bias in the sourcing in your linked content?  Not dissimilar perhaps to Trafalgar, but at least they were right in 2016.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Hmmm, from Trafalgar:

PA Oct 13- Biden by 2.3%
WI October 19- Biden by 1.3%

PA Oct 25 – Biden by .8%
WI Oct 25- Biden by .4%

Things are tightening. Go Orange Go! He needs one of these states and he has to recapture his share of seniors in FL.

•  My bad. Orange is now up by .8% in PA NOT Biden. Sorry for the confusion.

• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[gpn38]

[quote quote=3282]Mick, how do you evaluate this fellows insight, “The central through thread from all of our conversations with young people throughout the year and the polls, whether ours or anyone else’s, [is that] they are more motivated to vote than ever before,” said Ben Wessel, executive director of NextGen America, a group funded by Tom Steyerthat works to turn out younger voters. Tom didn’t get too far with his $500 million investment in his own campaign. Did his minions get real smart all of a sudden. I mean he couldn’t get past Biden/Clyburn et al? How about this fellow who’s viewpoint/analysis is cited repeatedly? “Tom Bonier is a veteran Democratic political strategist and TargetSmart’s Chief Executive Officer. Prior to TargetSmart, Tom co-founded Clarity Campaign Labs in 2012 and helped build it into one of the nation’s leading Democratic analytics and research firms. He has spent more than 20 years working in Democratic and progressive politics. Tom’s tool, “Insights” grew out of TargetSmart analyses of 2018 voter data that we were performing internally and for our clients.” No mention of Tom’s relative prescience in 2016? Mick, do you sense any “preaching to the choir” bias in the sourcing in your linked content? Not dissimilar perhaps to Trafalgar, but at least they were right in 2016.[/quote]

It’s over. Time to get in our bunkers and keep our heads low…

[rjnwmill]

GPN, I still believe this election will be decided by the nine wise souls. Emphasis on the “nine”.  Orange is too litigious for it to end any other way.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[Beeg_Dawg]

If it were 16M in Cali, WA, OR and NY, I wouldn’t be so concerned.  Looking at the states mentioned, I am with GPN – grab all the ammo and water you can and head to the bunker.

 

[rjnwmill]

Just released Michigan update from Trafalgar.

Is the rust belt going Orange post debate?

Et tu Florida?

And the democratic governor & Keith “Lets Charge Murder with a Fatal, Self Medicated Dose of Fentanyl in the Victim’s Blood” Ellison now try to ban Orange rallies in Minnesota?  Seem perhaps a bit desperate?

• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.
• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[Author]

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