Hard to see him win. Not a very likeable guy, as his failed presidential run indicated. It’s a very crowded field of experienced Democratic politicians with existing and deep support bases, his initial polling numbers are very poor (1% to 3%), he’s never held elective office, he’s a billionaire trying to buy a job supervising actual humans, voter fatigue with celebrity candidates, he has no governmental track record, and he has three real problems:
- At best, his messages overlap those of the other candidates.
- His key strong points (environment, climate, corporate justice) are secondary concerns in California right now. Most Californians are interested in a strong economy, low inflation, more affordable lives, public safety, low-cost energy, good schools and reduced homelessness. There’s no real reason to vote for him.
- He needs to build a support team from scratch when other experienced staff has already committed to other candidates.