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I can’t imagine why? Who could have seen this coming? I guess that’s what happens when you tariff the hell out of one of your biggest trading partners and threaten to take over their country. I’m shocked. SHOCKED.
https://robbreport.com/food-drink/wine/canadians-stopped-buying-american-wine-1236961236/
Buy I’m sure there’s some big brain, 5-D chess move in the works. Or, alternatively, we will hear why it’s no big deal because (fill in the blank rationale).
NO MALARKEY
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Zeihan, geopolitical expert, thinks that while there will be no Canadian/American merger, he feels that individual Canadian provinces are likely to secede, particularly those whose taxes support Quebec. Specifically, he mentioned Alberta and Saskatchewan as the first two to go.
He mentions those two because (a) they’re relatively wealthy and (b) have young populations and (c) Ontario and Quebec have the bulk of the population and (d) the other provinces are dominated by aging, nonprosperous people. Therefore, at some point, it would not be surprising to see those two provinces leave. And if those two go, British Columbia won’t be far behind.
The Canadian constitution does not prohibit secession, incidentally. That’s why Quebec had a quorum on secession from Canada, which was narrowly averted by requiring other provinces to pay additional funds to Quebec.
Zeihan thinks it would be too costly for the USA, so is unlikely to happen. Regardless, it’s an interesting read.
Will the US and Canada Actually Merge? – Zeihan on Geopolitics
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US wine market is $109b annually. Canada boycotting US wine growers isn’t that big of problem. Not mentioned in the article is rapidly expanding wine production in Canada, so some of fall off is just “buy at home”. Sort like what happened to French wine after 1976.
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US wine market is $109b annually. Canada boycotting US wine growers isn’t that big of problem.
Quoting my prior comment above: “or, alternatively, we will hear why it’s no big deal because (fill in the blank rationale).”
I hope you realize wine is simply one example. Our exports to Canada have fallen precipitously in a number of industries. It is a BIG deal in aggregate and a big deal to the business owners and their employees. If it were under Clinton, Obama, Biden, or Harris, it would be a disaster. But hey, it’s just some 4-D chess by Trump, so no worries.
I can’t wait to hear what else Trump capitulates when he meets with Putin in Russia later this week.
NO MALARKEY
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