- This topic has 15 replies, 4 voices, and was last updated 5 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
-
Trump is the clear Comeback Politician of the Year for 2024/2025. His ability to overcome the Democratic machine to score a majority was breathtaking…even though he had a massive assist from the Dems who ran perhaps the worst Presidential candidate in history, Trump needed to sell himself to the American public, which he ably did so.
So who will be the Comeback Politician of the Year between now and 2028? I’ll tell you who it won’t be…Kamala Harris. Her performance as VP, and as a candidate in both 2020 and 2024 were just godawful. If there’s any justice in 2026, she won’t get elected Governor of CA, either.
Will it be Newsom? I don’t think so. He’s dug himself too deep a hole. California is too given over to the worst instincts of the far-Lefty side of the Democratic party and, like Harris, Newsom has a long list of positions that he’d rather people not remember. I give him credit for trying to rehabilitate his image, but I don’t think it’s going to work. He can talk with Charlie Kirk and Michael Savage and all manner of Republican, but the fact remains that California is a debacle; from the fires that destroyed whole California cities on his watch, to the incompetence of the Democratic politicians statewide (the rest of America sits up and takes notice), to the intractable homeless problem (CA has 12% of American population and 28% of American homeless), to water issues that (fair or not) that Newsom is tarred with, to lenient treatment of criminals and Newsom’s opposition to sane criminal treatment policies that California voters approved of, to the pell-mell flight out of California of top-level businesses.
No, it’s not going to be Newsom.
It’s going to be Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes.
Yes, the brain-dead political naif who when initially elected couldn’t name the three branches of the American Federal government accurately. She’s doing the smart things: like Newsom, she’s engaging (or trying to engage) with the Right. And she’s closely allying herself in a credible way with the most popular Democrat of the moment, Bernie Sanders. When the economy fails, she’s going to promise to fix it by taxing the rich. It will fail, of course, but the timing might get her elected President in 2028–and yes, I’m serious. She doesn’t have the baggage that Newsom does, and she might luck out because the rest of the Democrats actually still think their Progressive approach will win the day with American voters…which it won’t.
The Democratic politician who learns how to say “Trump is a little bit right, and here’s the part where he’s correct, and here’s how I support it” will win the Presidency in 2028. But every Dem candidate who thinks Trump supporters are Deplorables doesn’t have a chance.
Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez lead Democrats searching for an audience
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
-
-
Every politician has a particular knack, a strong point. One of Newsom’s is to take a politically safe position and pretend that’s a brave, risky position that no other politician will take. When he supported gay marriage — as Mayor of San Francisco — he not only didn’t take a political risk, he played to his base and won greater support. Supporting gay marriage in San Francisco is anything but politically risky. It would have been a political risk if he didn’t support gay marriage.
Years later, he’s taking the politically safe position of being against transgender athletes. It’s a very tiny community (transgender athletes) trying to participate in a much broader community (XX-chromosomes athletes), but they have been through male puberty and have an advantageous bone structure, musculature, etc. This is not a winning issue, it’s flat out wrong. Even for most of the Left, this is a no-brainer. And with it, Newsom can pretend that he’s a moderate. He can cite his and his wife’s collegiate athletic experience and speak from a base of knowledge.
Gavin Newsom Warms Up to Conservatives in New Podcast – WSJ
Newsom can be tone-deaf on a lot of national issues; e.g., illegal immigration and its impact on local employment. In 1979, LAPD Chief Daryl Gates (yes, that one) issued Special Order 40, prohibiting cops from asking about citizenship status. Why? Because there was so much crime in the illegal immigrant community, and the LAPD needed their cooperation. Six months after Special Order 40, illegals became part of the employment structure…and ruined other parts. Like drywall. Black workers dominated drywall contracting in Southern California, and they were making about $38k annually…pretty good in 1979. Within six months, illegals were hanging drywall for $22k annually. And black contractors lost their livelihood.
I think Newsom has had a series of wake-up moments, from his failed high-speed train, to persistently high unemployment rates to extraordinarily disgusting homeless on city streets. I think at the election prior to the Presidential election in 2024, when Californians voted to return punishment to thieves — against Newsom’s wishes — he finally woke up.
Way back when, Newsom was a small-business supporter. Maybe he’ll return to that. We’ll see.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
A recent CNN poll confirms the rise of former bartender Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes as the newest, brightest, most-respected star in the Democratic universe.
CNN Compares AOC’s Rise to Post-Obama Republican Party
To be fair, part 1…AOC had just 10% of the vote, Kamala Harris had 9%, Bernie Sanders (not a Democrat, registered independent) had 8% and Hakeem Jeffries had 6%. So it’s far from a mandate, but still…
To be fair, part 2…the question that was asked was “What Democratic leader best reflects the core values of the Democratic party?”
Well…yeah. I’d say that’s true. Highly Progressive, not very bright, prone to rash moves, absolute and categorical lack of mathematic understanding — all four of those listed meet that criteria.
I’m not anti-Dem, I could live with Shapiro or Whitmer. If any of those four or Newsom win the White House, it’s the end of days for America. It will complete the descent into Third World dump.
In a moment of sanity in another CNN poll, the Democratic party has its lowest favorability rating ever, at 29%, a drop of 20 points since Biden took office in January, 2021:
CNN Poll: Democratic Party’s favorability drops to a record low | CNN Politics
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
-
The vote recipients of “Who do you see as the Democratic Party leader?
- AOC, 10%
- K. Harris, 9%
- B. Sanders, 8%
- Hakeem J., 6%
- B. Obama, 4%
- Jasmine Crockett, 4%
- Gav. Newsom, 2%
- Nancy Pelosi, 2%
- Elissa Slotkin, 2%
- Chuck Schumer, 2%
- Tim Walz, 1%
Not mentioned at all: Gretchen Whitmer, Elizabeth Warren, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jamie Raskin, Wes Moore, Ruben Gallego, Jon Ossoff, Mark, Cuban, Andy Beshear, J. B. Pritzker,
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
https://x.com/Silascruzvento/status/1902400733275644072
I see that I wrote Andrew, rather than Anthony Weiner, but….
-
It’s a risky move, trying to be the Joe Rogan of the center. Newsom is trying to frame himself as a centrist, which is odd given that California is (a) a fully Democrat state and (b) he still has to run in the Democrat primary, and the conventional wisdom is that you run to the poles in the primaries and you wait until the Presidential election to run back to the center.
As to Newsom’s guests, Kirk I definitely understand, Walz I understand. Savage…odd choice. And I don’t really get Bannon on his show. Tucker Carlson, I would understand. But Newsom needs to get some Dem moderates — to the extent that there are any left — on his show.
Newsom recognizes that the Democratic party has a “man” problem, and I think he may be trying to re-frame himself as the masculine presence and trying to appeal to the “real working man” that departed the Democratic party.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
Buzz is building for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes as the face of the Democratic party in the wake of her “Fighting Oligarchy” tour with Bernie Sanders.
She’s basically saying that there needs to be a generational shift in the party’s leadership…basically what she did to Joe Crowley. She’s bucked her own party and criticized its leadership on a number of fronts, including Schumer’s handling of the government funding bill.
Matt Bennett of the center-left Third Way says (in essence) she’s getting big crowds, but only those predisposed to like her anyway. She’s not attracting the Democrats who left the party to vote for Trump. He thinks she’d be better off if she stayed in the House.
Buzz builds around Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s future
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
-
Joe Crowley, the Democrat who AOC booted, doesn’t think she has crossover appeal. Doesn’t think she can appeal beyond the base.
To win back the House, you have to appeal to moderates and Republicans. And she does neither.
Democrat ousted by AOC casts doubt on her as national candidate | Watch
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
When asked “Who do you see as the face of the Democratic party?” only 2% mentioned Gavin.
Gavin Newsom’s 2028 hopes dim according to new poll
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
And in the many-days-late-many-dollars-short category is Gavin Newsom, who is backpedaling almost (but not quite) as fast as Kamala Harris. His most recent conservative stance? Charge illegals for their previously free health care.
Gavin Newsom Is Ending a Golden Age of California Progressivism
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
Crime has gone up 70% in AOC’s district. She doesn’t care, and wouldn’t know what to do about it if she did care. But she supports “defund the police.”
AOC’s district sees 70% crime surge — more than double NYC average: ‘She doesn’t care’
Audaces fortuna iuvat
-
https://x.com/ShadowofEzra/status/1928489466756485602
It’s happening!
-
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.