Beeg_Dawg

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  • in reply to: Cuba #9583
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
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    OMG, do liberals ever listen to what they say? “But Florida Democrats fear Biden’s move gives Trump a chance to frame their party as beholden to socialists.”

    Democrats are responsible for framing their entire party as socialists, it has nothing to do with Trump.  Typical of dems negotiating with unfriendly actors, concessions are made with a  promise by the antagonist but it never seems to happen.  In this case, prisoner release will be  “gradual”.  No time line, but gradual is not agreeing to anything except releasing prisoners someday.

    Biden, Blinken and Company can’t be gone soon enough.

    in reply to: Petition for Karen Bass to resign #9576
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    So what if they resign? The voters who put them in office to start with are still voting.  There is no promise their replacements will be better, and every indication that they will be worse.

     

    in reply to: Politics and the other board #9573
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
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    And in the AYFKM category…Cali is looking at huge deficits and that was before the fires.  In spite of a budget shortfall, Newsome and the legislature has come up with $50M to fight Trump primarily on his deportation plan.

    Lets see-  Cali has the largest homeless population of any state.  Cali spends close to $5B annually on homeless programs. Cali’s homeless population has increased every year since 2015 to almost 200k, with illegal immigrants being a large percentage of the increase.

    Makes sense to me. Rather than selectively work with the feds to remove illegals, spend MORE money to keep them in place.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/5082625-california-democrats-funding-protection-trump-administration/

    https://ktla.com/news/california/heres-how-much-california-spends-on-each-homeless-person/

    I wonder if Orange County will turn red when residents wanting to rebuild discover how f’ed permitting and land use laws have become in California.

    Question – If your property taxes were frozen under Prop 13, would your  taxes go up on a replacement home?

     

     

    in reply to: Gallup’s Most Admired Man, 1946-2020 #9545
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    [quote quote=9541]

    It’s longevity. The one that sticks out to me is HW Bush. He led the CIA and had a relatively inauspicious presidency, followed by a quiet post presidency (meaning he didn’t launch the Bush global initiative and seek celebrity…just like his son). I wouldn’t have thought that would score most admired points (and yes, I admired him at times though have revised my view of neocon republicans in recent years.).

    Do you think GHWB would have been re-elected if Perot had not run? Clinton got 43.0% of the popular vote, GHWB got 37.4% and Perot got 18.9%. My sense is that he largely drew from Bush, but what do you think?[/quote]

    From RCP- “From all of this, you might see an argument forming that Perot did, in fact, cost Bush re-election. But the claim here is actually significantly weaker. Instead, the best we can say is that we don’t know, and cannot know. There is significant empirical evidence, briefly outlined above, that Perot did not cost Bush the election, but that evidence all comes from the universe where Perot actually ran. If Perot fundamentally reset the terms of the 1992 election, then this evidence cannot answer our actual question.”
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/07/10/we_dont_know_whether_perot_cost_bush_in_1992_140743.html

    We can’t know how voters would have reacted to a traditional two party contest, but in my opinion Bush would have lost due to the 1990 recession.  I don’t believe you can simply say Perot supporters came at Bush’s expense.

    If Bush would have won all of Perot’s popular votes, he would have won several normally solid blue states and won by a landslide.  My point is, Bush would not have won California, Washington, Oregon, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin even if Perot had not run.

    Just for grins, here is an AI response to the question.

    “The idea that Ross Perot cost George H.W. Bush the 1992 presidential election has been debated for decades. Here’s an overview of the arguments:

    The Case For Perot Costing Bush the Election

    1. Split the Conservative Vote: Perot’s policies, particularly on fiscal conservatism, appealed to many voters who might otherwise have supported Bush. Some argue that this split the conservative vote, weakening Bush’s ability to counter Bill Clinton.
    2. Vote Distribution: Exit polls suggested that Perot drew more votes from Bush than from Clinton. Perot received nearly 19% of the popular vote—a significant share for a third-party candidate.

    The Case Against Perot Costing Bush the Election

    1. Broad Appeal: Perot’s support was broad and came from both parties and independents. Analysis of exit polls showed that a substantial portion of Perot voters might not have voted at all if he hadn’t run.
    2. Clinton’s Strong Campaign: Clinton’s campaign capitalized on Bush’s perceived weaknesses, including the economy and his perceived broken “no new taxes” pledge. Many analysts believe Clinton would have won even without Perot in the race.
    3. Electoral Votes: Even if Bush had received all of Perot’s votes, Clinton’s electoral victory was decisive. Clinton won 370 electoral votes to Bush’s 168, a margin unlikely to have been overturned by Perot’s absence.

    What the Data Suggests

    • Studies and polls conducted after the election suggested Perot’s voters were fairly evenly split among those who would have otherwise voted for Bush, Clinton, or not voted at all.
    • Perot’s presence likely changed the dynamics of the race, but his exact impact remains uncertain.

    Conclusion

    While Perot’s candidacy influenced the election, most political analysts agree that other factors, such as a weak economy and dissatisfaction with Bush, were more decisive in Clinton’s victory. Perot may have played a role, but he was likely not the sole reason for Bush’s loss.”

    I still believe Clinton won because Perot entered the race and forced Bush to respond on two fronts, allowing Clinton to gain momentum.

    in reply to: The end of single family homes #9530
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    This is what you get with disjointed and conflicting policies.
    1) Urban Growth Boundaries
    2) Expensive and Lengthy permitting process
    3) Policies that favor (incentivize) large mutifamily projects over single family dwellings.
    4) State agencies, like the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), can penalize cities that fail to comply with state driven mandates.
    5) Environmental requirements delay or prevent single-family developments. Multi-family or transit-oriented projects are prioritized because they align with environmental goals.

    Couple that with an influx of 10 million illegal aliens we can’t absorb but must be paid and cared for, blue cities and states are scrambling for new sources of revenue (AKA Wealth Tax).

    Liberals specialize in spending money they don’t have and kicking the can down the road.  Here is great example – https://apnews.com/article/low-income-housing-tax-credit-affordable-harris-8f68bcf189c17f910459142ee8a50289

    So the answer is, provide subsidies to build low income (subsidized ) housing.  Of course, shock and disbelief set in as property owners raise rent when subsidies end.

    Shocking.

    in reply to: Time to work with deranged Hitler the Fascist… #9488
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Damn, elections do have consequences.  🙂

    in reply to: Is the economy poison pilled? #9483
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Poison Pill? The pork packed into the latest continuing resolution is ridiculous.
    1) $200B in Social Security benefits for government workers who have not paid into social security.
    2) Congressional pay raise.
    3) Opt out of Obama Care for Federal Employee Health Care.
    4) $50B for Big Pharma
    5) Transfer Federally controlled land for RFK Stadium.
    6) $10B in aid to Farmers.

    Basically, Dems are introducing an Omnibus spending bill disguised as a continuing resolution, which will expire in Trump’s first 100 days in office.

    I would like to see Congress pass a bill that prevents adding provisions to CRs.  Congress should not be able to authorize new spending without passing a budget.

     

    in reply to: Pete Hegseth #9460
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Journalism today is about being first, has nothing to do about the facts.

    in reply to: Joe Biden pardons Hunter Biden #9438
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    “Over time, the party will come to believe that the only reason they lost in 2024 is because Biden selfishly tried to run for re-election,” Rasmussen said.”

    Don’t know about the moral high ground, but introspection is damn sure not in their repertoire.

    in reply to: Kush Patel, new FBI lead #9431
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Can’t disagree the left has been weaponizing the FBI (and the IRS and DOJ) but it’s fair to say J Edgar Hoover started it by trying to eradicate liberals.

    in reply to: Who bears responsibility for Lefty decline? #9413
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
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    I loved her reveal of Trump’s tax return.  Reminded me of when Geraldo Rivera opened Capone’s safe.

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 9 months ago by AvatarBeeg_Dawg.
    in reply to: Is the economy poison pilled? #9409
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Interesting article.  During the campaign, lefties insisted the economy was doing fine, often pointing to the stock market as proof.  At least half the voters called BS.

    Anyone who was purchasing groceries over the last 5 years knew the economy was a mess without input from partisans or Phds.

    My own index is the BDBI.  (Beeg Dawg Breakfast Index.) My benchmark – 3 egg Denver omelette, potatoes, coffee and toast is roughly double since 2019.

    I haven’t trusted reported labor numbers for years, going back to Obama claims how many jobs were created coming out the 2008 recession.  Two examples – Obama probably claimed x number of teachers jobs created in a Wisconsin school district.  Problem was there were more “jobs” created than teachers.  Another was in the construction industry.  3 part time jobs were counted as 3 jobs created, even if all 3 were filled by the same worker at different times.

    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Heard this on the news this morning.

    If I were Trump, I would be on the phone to Zelensky and tell him if launches a long range missile strike against Russia, he will never receive a nickels worth of military support from the US again.

    Raises an important question- When the US supply long range missiles to Ukraine?

    in reply to: 4B comes to America #9382
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    [quote quote=9364]“Strong women.” A new generation of childless cat ladies. Whoopi Goldberg is on sex strike in case you are interested, Mick.[/quote]

    There is not enough tequila in the universe for me to even think about going there.  Ugh.

    in reply to: Is the economy poison pilled? #9352
    AvatarBeeg_Dawg
    Participant

    Isn’t inflation the expected result following a cut in interest rates?

Viewing 15 posts - 121 through 135 (of 598 total)