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…they’re ALL leading Biden in the polls.
Interestingly, Trump has the narrowest lead, 50% to 48%. DeSantis leads 51% to 48%. Nikki Haley has the largest lead, 53% to 45%. 59% of independents back Haley, 55% for DeSantis, 54% for Trump.
Trump’s platform:
- “Are You Better Off Than You Were Four Years Ago?”
- Raise tariffs by 10% across the board.
- Further decoupling from China.
- Make permanent the individual tax cuts he enacted during his presidency (they’re scheduled to expire in 2025).
- Sweeping executive orders to restrict immigration.
- Won’t touch Social Security or Medicare, but will rein in government spending on foreign aid, climate subsidies, immigration.
- Eliminate expensive overseas conflicts.
- Cut red tape/regulations.
- Fed govt workers need to sit for new civil service tests.
- Rescind Biden’s climate policies, back out of the Paris accords.
- Says he won’t reappoint Fed Chair Jay Powell when his term expires in 2026.
- Massively ramp up drilling for oil and natural gas, approve more pipelines, eliminate incentives for EVs and clean energy.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
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This article suggests the choice in this cycle is exclusively on the republican side and is all about who is most able to change the failing organization that is our government. We’ve got “Ryans” and “Pelosis” ready to obstruct. We’ve got “Vindman” bureaucrats throughout the administrative departments prepared to ignore elected political leadership, and we’ve got lobbyists and foreign governments paying to play.
For me, I think Trump is the “safest” choice as a change agent. This poll suggests he’s the highest risk to win in November, is the potential upside worth it?
Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long -
Trump needs to be polling at +5% in the swing states to win in the general election.
The margin needs to be so high that the monkey games they will play in Philadelphia, and other cities, won't be able to overcome the lead.
I have not seen any evidence that anything has…
— Wall Street Silver (@WallStreetSilv) January 16, 2024
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Read this. I like DeSantis, but the political consultants and his campaign staff are terrible at messaging and execution. Ryan Girdusky is a strong personality, but I think he’s generally right about this.
Another perspective.
Ron DeSantis's presidential bid is a dead campaign walking after Trump throttled him in must-win Iowa
A year ago, DeSantis was the best hope for Republicans hoping to turn the page from Trump
Here's the inside story of how Trump crushed DeSantishttps://t.co/Hz6DJDmErQ
1/15
— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) January 16, 2024
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Unlike 2016, the major media is refraining from giving Donald Trump time. They refused to show his Iowa victory speech.
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-iowa-speech-cnn-msnbc-1861186
MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow’s comment was particularly interesting: “At this point in the evening, the projected winner of the Iowa caucuses has just started giving his victory speech,” Maddow told viewers. “We will keep an eye on that as it happens. We will let you know if there is any news made in that speech—if there is anything noteworthy, something substantive and important.”
In other words, they will decide whether you’re allowed to hear his victory speech. Wow. Just…wow.
Fox carried most of the speech. NBC and CNN carried portions, but opted out of full live coverage. CNN covered it live for over 10 minutes, . MSNBC interrupted it 35 seconds into the speech. Trump insists that they should lose their licenses because of it…but cable networks are not regulated by the FCC.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
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“Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.”
– Winston Churchill pic.twitter.com/ECoR8YeiMm
— Ron DeSantis (@RonDeSantis) January 21, 2024
DeSantis out. Hired NeverTrumper consultants who haven’t won anything. Had extremely online press folks on Twitter with no sense of humor. Lots of mistakes in hiring and execution. I still think he’s a great governor and hopefully has a bright future. Did great in debates, and with hostile journalists. But man was his messaging bad, and he got caught flat footed a lot.
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