Mick, I beg to differ. Just the ongoing inverted yield curve suggests that a recession lies ahead. Leading indicators are not encouraging. Real wages have been mostly declining for the last two years and productivity increases over that period have been anemic. And that is only a partial list. I don’t feel particularly good about what lies ahead.
And you were right. And you’re still right. Nearly 2/3rds of Americans think the economy is getting worse, per Gallup. What’s more, the percentage that believed America’s economy was improving has only crested 30% three times since 2021.