Back on this date in 2020, Biden had a +5.5 lead over Trump, thanks to COVID and the impending economic doom. Today, Trump is ahead of Biden by +2.2 on average, according to Real Clear Politics.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
Biden is ahead in the Quinnipiac, I&I/TIPP and Morning Consult polls. Trump is head on the Economist, CBS News, NY Times, Fox News, Forbes/Harris, Wall Street Journal, Harvard-Harris and Rasmussen polls.
As for battleground states, Trump is ahead in all of them except for Pennsylvania, including:
- Arizona, +5.5
- Georgia, +6.5
- Michigan, +3.6
- Nevada, +7.7
- North Carolina, +5.7
- Pennsylvania, -1.0
- Wisconsin, +1.0