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…Atlas Intel, OnMessage Inc., InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, and ActiVote.
In the last three days, ActiVote and Rasmussen show Dems with a 6.6% and 5.0% advantage on a generic D vs. R ballot. In July, AtlasIntel (recognized as the most accurate poll) showed an 8.6% advantage to the Democrats. The other two did not perform national midterm polls recently.
The RealClearPolitics showed Dems with an 8.1% advantage on October 14.
As for presidential politics, only AtlasIntel and Rasmussen have conducted substantial recent surveys, and they show different pictures of both parties’ nomination contests:
- In a poll of 2,069 U. S. adults, AtlasIntel shows Rubio with a 15.8% lead over JD Vance
- Rasmussen, on the other hand shows JD Vance with a 12.0% lead over Rubio.
This is from a May Atlas Intel Democratic presidential poll, showing AOC with a big lead: (10) AtlasIntel on X: “🇺🇸ATLAS POLL – USA 2026 Midterms Democrats lead Republicans by +14.5pp on the generic ballot for the House. Democratic candidates have the preference of 54.6% while 40.1% prefer Republican candidates. https://t.co/hc3UxHpBxc” / X
And Rasmussen’s survey measured Kamala Harris at 37% and surging (from 34% in May).
As for the general election, Newsom or Buttigieg beats Vance by 5% and Rubio by 2%. Kamala Harris beats Vance by 4%, whereas Rubio beats Harris by 5%.
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