Mick1

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  • in reply to: Trivia time: Which currently living American President #8518
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    I think you mean ‘descended.rom slaveowners.’

    I think I meant “descended from“… 😉

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    in reply to: Why I am broadly concerned about the American economy #8506
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    This article indicates that Biden has a 3 point increase over Trump since  May, ostensibly because of Trump’s trumped-up conviction.

    There are many issues. For me, they all take a back seat to the economy. BC was right “It’s the economy, stupid.” The most telling part of this article is that Biden recently hit his high water mark on the economy…at a 32% approval rating. 32% say the economy is in excellent or good shape, up from 30%. 68% say bad or poor…and that’s a positive for Biden? Huh? That’s a good sign?

    Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May

    But the real scandal is that 45% say they’re holding steady and 41% say they’re falling behind.

    I don’t care who Biden is running against. Those numbers are the real scandal. More than two out of five people are falling behind?

    Can’t wait for Trump to ask “Are you doing better now than four years ago?”

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    in reply to: GR’s Wealth Tax #8501
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Wealth Taxes are Direct Taxes that are Subject to the Rule of Apportionment

    https://reason.com/volokh/2024/06/17/wealth-taxes-are-direct-taxes-that-are-subject-to-the-rule-of-apportionment/embed/#?secret=pUc6GFbsVU#?secret=LS9mWcGKeD

    The last two sentences indicate why it would be such a popular and appealing tax to government:

    “There is an appealing element of voluntariness in indirect taxes, which is that one can always avoid the tax by not engaging in the taxed transaction. Such voluntariness is absent when direct taxes are imposed.”

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    in reply to: Who is ahead in the polls, Biden or Trump? #8489
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Same link, Trump now 51, Biden 49. I imagine it will fluctuate a lot more over the coming months.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

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    in reply to: Cannabis #8477
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    BTW, supposedly safe and tested California cannabis…isn’t.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/the-dirty-secret-of-california-s-legal-weed/ar-BB1odAR3

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    in reply to: Cannabis #8475
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    You all know how I feel about Gov. Whitmer. I thought she was a low watt bulb when I had to work with her. I have to hand it to her, she won her first election promising to fix roads and schools and didn’t fix either, and still got re-elected. And Michigan roads and schools are unbelievably awful.

    I worked at the Detroit law firm when we established a cannabis practice and cannabis was no longer prosecuted. It was a very strange situation…we had a very large municipal and state financing practice and it was communicated to us that if we wanted to keep that large practice, we couldn’t publicize our cannabis practice within Michigan. So we publicized it like crazy in the other dozen states in which we operated…just not in our home state of Michigan, even though we had a substantial and profitable cannabis practice.

    About two months in, a reporter calls me at 4:30 on a Friday afternoon to comment on a rumor that we were going to defend a doctor who was prescribing cannabis…definitely untrue. First, it would have been a radioactive decision and we would have lost millions in the aforementioned state/muni-related work. Second (ahem) there would be little to no fees involved in defending the doctor, so…no. I found out later that one of our competitors floated that rumor. Competitor rumor mongering happened with some regularity in Michigan, not in any of the money market (large cities) in which I operated with other firms.

    Last comment. If Biden steps down, or otherwise can’t run, the Dems have limited options. VP Kamala Harris is unelectable. Brittle, low watt bulb, appeals to no broad political group and is a native Californian. Gov. Newsom has presided over the administrative catastrophe that is California…and none of the other 49 states want to see a Californian president in any event, sort of like the Catholics hating the idea of a Jesuit pope. Buttigieg is barely hanging on to his current job and has no popular appeal. President Whitmer? The gorge rises…

    • This reply was modified 2 years ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    in reply to: Who is ahead in the polls, Biden or Trump? #8468
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    The Economist gives Trump a 66 / 34 edge in November:

    A first look at our election-forecast model | Latest US politics news from The Economist

    Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) and The Hill predicts Trump wins the general election with a 58% edge:

    2024 Presidential Election Forecast | The Hill and DDHQ

    Trump, GOP are early favorites for White House, Congress (thehill.com)

     

     

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    in reply to: Biden starting to lose it, says WSJ #8462
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Great article. Couple of thoughts:

    1. Illegal immigration concerns are swamping the American zeitgeist. Case in point: In Trump’s last year, ICE apprehended 342 military age men from China. And you don’t get out of China unless they let you. Last year, they arrested 22,000 and this year so far we’ve already arrested 27,000…and we still have seven months to go.
    2. Third party candidates are cropping up on the voter slate of the swing states; Cornel West, RFK JR., Jill Stein.
    3. At the end of the day, Biden was electable from the vast slate of Democrats in 2020 because he was the only one who could beat Trump. All the rest, to one degree or another, alarmed typical American voters. Socialist Bernie? No thanks. He needs basic math skills. Native American Elizabeth Warren? Lord, no. Kamala? Donald Trump had ten times as many write-in votes in the Dem primary as Harris had in NH when she finished 14th. with 129 votes and Trump had 1,217 write in votes.

    People thought Trump would be the moderate. In the four years since, he’s pursued Progressive policies almost exclusively.

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    in reply to: Democrats don’t want to amend Proposition 47 #8457
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Newsom needs to cut budgets across the board, keeping in mind that millions of undocumented immigrants continue to stream into California, most of whom either do not pay or underpay both Federal and CA taxes and/or will require state funding. So…yeah. Something’s got to suffer. And it won’t be immigrants or funding for state employee retirement.

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    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    More interesting commentary from former Federal prosecutor Jim Trusty (interviewed by Paul Gigot). Items I hadn’t realized before:

    1. SDNY initially rejected the case.
    2. Politicized prosecutor whose predecessor rejected it.
    3. Judge was hand-selected, not through lottery process.
    4. Favorable jury instructions to a favorably-selected jury.

    Trusty’s opinion: defense strategy was correct, focus on Cohen’s credibility. Government bailed out the defense with a 5.5 hour closing argument. Thought they over-dignified Stormy Daniels. Govt successfully equated “sordid” with “criminal.”

    Trusty said judge behaved in a way that helped the prosecution; (1) should have recused himself not because of his small donations, but because of his daughter’s commitment to the Democrat machine (raising millions for Dems), and (2) the trial proceeded without the theory of crime until the jury instructions happened. When the judge used pretzel logic to turn misdemeanors into felonies, the judge gave three vague options, two of which were Federal (in a state court).

    Trusty thinks there was a due process violation; no clarity on the specific charges until the end of the trial, both baseline and underlying. Government didn’t give felony theory until the unethical press conference by Alvin Bragg…he skirted the ethical prohibitions. Vague indictment, judge didn’t particularize on how misdemeanors became felonies. Judge allowed lots of “sexy areas for appeal” per Trusty.

    Sentencing on 7/11: Trusty thinks these Class C felonies (right on misdemeanor line) should be probation.

    WSJ Opinion: The Law and Donald Trump | Watch (msn.com)

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    in reply to: Biden starting to lose it, says WSJ #8450
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Agreed that Biden might pull out if it’s a debate disaster. Who takes his place, though? Newsom’s radioactive with all of California’s problems. Kamala Harris is a non-starter.

    I understand why they wanted Hillary Clinton originally. The idea was you “get Bill Clinton, most popular President” and Hillary was along for the ride. But Hillary screwed up and crossed up the party by insisting on distancing herself from the Pervert-in-Chief.

    Which raises the question: do they draft Michelle Obama?

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    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Does anyone at all worry about the dangerous precedent that this sets? Trump is found guilty of a conjured-up crime before a Democrat judge who donated to Biden, whose daughter raises funds for Democrats, with a fully Democrat jury in a very Democrat city.

    Wouldn’t happen anywhere else in the world. HRC gets a free pass for her crimes. Biden doesn’t get indicted for similar crimes; e.g., retaining Top Secret files.

    Trump and MAGA allies are learning, and listening very closely. They’re threatening similar behavior.

    The G.O.P. Push for Post-Verdict Payback: ‘Fight Fire With Fire’

    Former Harvard Law prof and registered lifelong Democrat Alan Dershowitz calls it the weaponization of the legal system. He says that no lawyer would privately consider Trump’s “offense” a legitimate legal violation.

    Dershowitz on Trump conviction: ‘This is the beginning of a war of weaponization of the criminal justice system’ (bizpacreview.com)

    Do we really want to go down this path?

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    in reply to: Updated – List of SF Closings #8441
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Whole Foods, which shuttered its Civic Center store in May, 2023 is opening a new store on Geary between Broderick and Baker, about three blocks from a Trader Joe’s, 10 blocks north of the Panhandle:

    Whole Foods set to open ninth location in San Francisco

    There is a bill that will require markets to give six months’ notice before closing:

    San Francisco Bill Would Let People Sue Grocery Stores for Closing Too Quickly

    • This reply was modified 2 years ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    in reply to: More political fun… #8436
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Democratic strategist David Axelrod thinks Biden’s defiant stance on the economy will backfire. So do I. I don’t understand or agree with the inflation figures as publicized by the government.

    Matt Taibbi and Brian Kilmeade thinks Biden literally doesn’t understand inflation or why it happens, and they’re out of touch with ordinary people:

    Matt Taibbi: It’s ‘entirely possible’ Biden doesn’t understand impact of inflation | Watch

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    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    And while I’m piling on the Hypocrite-In-Chief, Gavin Newsom has pressed for $20/hour for fast food workers while at the same time (a) making an exception for his billionaire buddy and campaign donor who owns Panera: https://nypost.com/2024/02/28/business/panera-bread-exempt-from-california-wage-law-after-newsom-donation/#:~:text=California%20Gov.%20Gavin%20Newsom%20signed%20a%20law%20that,donated%20to%20his%20campaign%2C%20according%20to%20a%20report. and (b) only pays his own restaurant workers $16/hour: Gavin Newsom’s Restaurant Offers $16 Hourly Wage to Employee (msn.com) Why does he do that? Well…why does a dog lick himself? Because he can.

    Newsom’s $20/hour fast food minimum hourly wage resulted in a loss of 10,000 jobs. Quelle surprise

    California Democrats Reverse Course on $25 Minimum Wage Amid Massive Job Losses & Budget DEFICIT (msn.com)

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Viewing 15 posts - 406 through 420 (of 652 total)