Most interesting sidelight of the pre-campaign polls

[Mick1]

I can take or leave Nate Silver and the other prognosticators. Silver did run 80,000 simulations, and Trump sweeping the battleground states was his most predicted outcome (4,660 of the 80,000). OK, no big deal.

Also not that big a deal was that Trump and Harris performed very close to their expectations in the Red states, and fairly close in the Blue states. With one, really interesting exception:

Kamala Harris’ worst state, relative to expectations? Why, California.

It’s not a West Coast thing, she overperformed in Oregon and Washington and Utah. But the biggest miss on the polls was Trump’s great performance/Harris’ terrible performance in California.

Maybe not all that surprising. After all…we do know her here.

Audaces fortuna iuvat

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