Mick1

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  • in reply to: Tax implications of a Harris / Walz administration, part 2 #8936
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Yeah, would have been a real hoot for the investors in Theranos, among others. . . . Do they get their money back for realized losses?

    Let me check with the Harris campaign…

    Nope. They are SOL. Think of it like gambling…you are taxed on your winnings, but you’re on your own for what you lost.

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    in reply to: Protests after IDF finds 6 murdered hostages #8932
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Can’t help you there. I don’t understand pro-terrorist Americans, or LGBTQ+ people who support Hamas and other groups that would throw them off of buildings. I don’t understand Americans who participate in protests yelling “Death to America”.

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    in reply to: Spending #8923
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    https://www.businessinsider.com/men-not-working-unemployment-job-market-economy-housing-social-security-2024-6 If people aren’t working, Social Security won’t be funded / taxes need to go up significantly to fund current obligations.

    Saw that. But you can’t force them to go back to work, and candidly…working conditions are pretty miserable, and there’s a lot of low-priced competition from immigrants, legal and otherwise.

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    in reply to: The Case for Keeping Her Mouth Shut #8915
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Yeah, that whole fiasco was unnerving. She’ll never answer unfriendly questions, and CNN is a particularly willing co-conspirator. But if anyone ever asks me why marketing works, I’m going to point to the Kamala Harris campaign. Wholly inappropriate for the presidency in every way, but…fool enough of the people enough of the time…

    BTW, 270 to win just put North Carolina in play…

    2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast – 270toWin

    And Harris now 3.5% ahead. Not as much as the 6.0% ahead that HRC was in 2016, but still…ahead in the polls.

    National : President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    In this #metoo age, when men who pressure women to have sex with them in exchange for advancing their careers are rightfully sent to prison, you received your first two political positions when you were 29 years old from your 60-year-old married boyfriend, Willie Brown. These paid positions were on the state Unemployment Insurance Appeals Board and the California Medical Assistance Commission. You had no experience or training in either insurance or the medical profession, yet you accepted these positions. Do you advocate that women should sleep with married men to receive paid positions? And (per Willie Brown) a BMW?

    In February, 1998, popular long-time San Francisco District Attorney Terence Hallinan recruited you as an assistant district attorney and promoted you ramidly to become chief of the Career Criminal Division. Four years later, you stabbed him in the back by mischaracterizing his positions — in your words, you ran a “forceful” campaign that was actually very conservative. You pushed for higher bail for gun related claims, yet you pledged never seek the death penalty, even in the case of a murdered SF Police Officer and an MS-13 gang member/illegal immigrant who murdered a man and his two sons in cold blood. You also supported SF as one of the first sanctuary cities in 2005. So…WTF?

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    in reply to: The Case for Keeping Her Mouth Shut #8904
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Image

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    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    California is soon to greenlight $150k home loans for undocumented immigrants. Wonder how that will impact Gov. Newsom’s image?

    California Close to Greenlighting $150K Home Loans for Undocumented Immigrants (msn.com)

    Audaces fortuna iuvat

    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Newsom’s initial efforts at reining in spending are not universally appreciated by Democrats:

    California Governor’s Drastic Budget Measures Get a Frosty Reception (msn.com)

    Here’s the hard part for Newsom: businesses are already fleeing the Golden State. Newsom has a $46.8 billion shortfall, and he wants to make up $15 billion of it by eliminating business tax breaks. That’s going to result in more businesses going under or leaving.

    On top of all that, to access the state’s “rainy day fund”, he had to declare a fiscal emergency. Doesn’t look good on the ol’ presidential resume and ticks off fellow Democrats who want to pretend that everything’s hunky-dory.

    Basically, Newsom has a lot of bitter pills to swallow, and he has until the end of his governorship in 2026 to do so, before he can point to the “right-the-ship” success that he thinks will occur.

     

     

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    in reply to: About those polls… #8891
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    270 to win remains unchanged, 77 electoral votes essentially up for grabs. Only change over last week, on August 23 they relaunched the 538 model added back to consensus. Oregon moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; South Carolina Safe to Likely Republican.

    2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast – 270toWin

    On Feb 3, 2021, Harris had a net positive +7.9 rating. Over the next three years, it culminated in a net -16.5 negative rating, greater than a 25-point reversal. Today, same poll, it has fallen to -1.9.

    Why?

    Great marketing, she hasn’t spoken in public, hasn’t talked to reporters, artsy Time cover, endorsements by all Dems and a hundred formerly influential traditional Republicans, Obama-esque poster (that didn’t take), and a toadying, obsequious media that has found a new low in their loathing of Trump and their collective intent to elect not-Trump.

    Everyone remembers her word salad, nonsensical responses. Her few publicized political positions either (a) parrot Trump or (b) are borderline frightening and economically nonsensical.

    Summarized, KH has a 3.5-point poll advantage over Trump today on 538. The same poll summary at the same time in 2016 had Hillary with a 6 point advantage over Trump. In other words…I still think this is Trump’s election to lose.

    President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    My take is that KH will have to try her own version of Biden’s basement strategy until Election Day.

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    in reply to: France and elections #8889
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Incroyable

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    in reply to: Nate Silver on Kamala Harris DNC speech #8885
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    https://nypost.com/2024/08/25/us-news/dnc-attendees-test-positive-for-covid-19-despite-mask-wearing/ The campaign engaged in one of the most emotionally manipulative uses of social media, floating a rumor that Beyonce or Taylor Swift was going to speak on the last night. That “special guest” rumor was flying all over the Internet, breathlessly spread by influencers, journalists, and operatives to hype things up. The fact that there were no consequences shows that it was a test for an even bigger hoax. October is going to be wild.

    And then they report the higher ratings, caused by said stupid ridiculous rumors. Beyonce and Swift, like the rest of Hollywood, likely support Harris…my guess is that they are holding their “formal” support for when Trump starts to close the gap.

    Harris’ utterings, btw, are so incredibly inane, they are forced to use them on their fundraising; e.g. “We love our country. And I believe it is the highest form of patriotism to fight for the ideas of our country.” The ideas of our country? Seriously? That came out of the mouth of a presidential candidate?

    Word salad at its not-so-finest.

     

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    in reply to: Nate Silver on Kamala Harris DNC speech #8877
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Four thoughts:

    1. She’s never met a tax she didn’t like.
    2. She’s devoid of public policy decisions.
    3. She’s a flat-out disaster on her feet.
    4. Without Willie Brown, she doesn’t have a political entree.

    Harris Endorses Biden’s Tax Proposal, Including New Taxes on Home Sales

    Sean Hannity: Kamala can’t list a single policy position

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    in reply to: RFK drops out and supports Trump #8876
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    Shunned by his family over personality of his preferred presidential candidate. What have we become?

    Interesting that you should mention that. Longtime Democrat family and yes, RFKJr. was shunned by his siblings. But…Kamala Harris literally wouldn’t take his calls when he reached out. She had Republicans speaking every night at the DNC, but refused to speak to a family member of arguably the most representative, and certainly high profile Democrat over history.

    Wouldn’t even take his call.

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    in reply to: Random Kamala thoughts #8865
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1826390681683984577

    Gina Raimundo is the Commerce Secretary.

    That’s a jaw-dropper. The Commerce Secretary is unfamiliar with the Bureau of Labor Statistics? Yikes…

    Denis McDonough, Obama’s Chief of Staff during his second term, heads up Veteran Affairs. Confirmed 87-7, he’s the second non-veteran to run DVA. Prior to Obama’s CoS role, he was Deputy National Security Advisor.

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Mick1Mick1.
    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Mick1Mick1.

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    in reply to: If Trump wants to win #8851
    Mick1Mick1
    Participant

    I misspoke. Apparently there will be no debate. Kamala Harris has turned down a potential debate on Fox News.

    Trump says proposed debate will now be a town hall with Sean Hannity (msn.com)

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Viewing 15 posts - 316 through 330 (of 650 total)