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That makes zero sense. Rely on an unstable 20 year old to make a shot so precise? Are there any circumstances in which any candidate says “yeah, shoot at me and make sure you nick me but don’t kill me.” That’s insane.
On the other hand, the left believes in a series of hoaxes; Hunter’s laptop, Russian hoax, etc. When your support comes from Hollywood’s make-believe…sure, of course you believe in fairy tales.
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Bud light has dropped from 10.2% (#1 position) to 6.5% (#3 position).
https://www.wsj.com/business/bud-light-slips-to-no-3-after-boycott-reshaped-beer-industry-e4e9a102
I’d say that was a miscalculation…
Marketing’s a funny business. It’s like real estate or parenting…everyone thinks they can do it, and it’s really easy to do…badly. It’s very difficult to do well. So some 20 something woke ideologue decides to insert the political opposite of the demographic profile as the marketing focal point…yeah, that doesn’t work.
Last week, I caught up with a friend of mine who ran the sales and marketing for a very successful accounting firm years ago, sustaining a 40% annual growth rate for eight years when 5% was the industry norm. He left the firm and five years later, he saw the CEO at an industry function, and they catch up. The CEO says “One question…when you were with us, we grew 40%. You left, and we’ve grown 5% every year since. Why?” My buddy started laughing, thinking the CEO was kidding.
He wasn’t. So my friend says, “Uh, well, Bob…the program I created brought 300 to 500 new leads and 60 to 150 new clients to the firm every year. When I left, the firm couldn’t sustain the program.” Pretty typical in just about any kind of business. Another friend of mine in the same role did battle with the new CEO, who fired her. She had sustained 12% growth rates for five years, and in the three years since, the firm’s growth fell to 4%, 2% and less than 1%. In all, she figured, it cost the firm a collective $75 million in new revenue to fire her. C’est la vie.
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Former Republican congressman, Joe Scarbarough, who said on the air this year that Trump would execute generals, execute opponents and execute journalists, was taken off the air this morning because:
“(one of their two dozen lefty knucklehead regular participants) might make an inappropriate comment on live television that could be used to assail the program and network as a whole.”
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Trump has held a 3% lead pretty consistently. And there are some indications that the Dems are resigned to a Trump presidency. Biden has zero intention of backing out, no matter how ineffective and physically not-up-to-the-task he is. People have been signalling since 2020 that Biden was incapable, and frankly…Biden was only electable as a moderate, really the only moderate in the Dem 2020 field of contenders (outside of Tulsi Gabbard). And Biden has governed as a Progressive. His prerogative, but a big, big part of the reason that the country wants Trump is because the country’s not Progressive as a whole.
The Dems have made some really bad mistakes over the past few years. Paying off student loans, putatively with the taxes of hard-working blue-collar types was…not very smart. Allowing in 8x to 12x the number of illegal immigrants vs. Trump’s numbers…also not smart. Stubborn homeless numbers, California cratering, Texas and Florida succeeding…doesn’t help the Dems. And in the wake of an assassination attempt, Representative AOC makes a “Fascist” reference to Trump.
One other major issue — America is sprinting away from Chinese manufacturing and reshoring our manufacturing base. The most accepted number is that over the next ten years we will double the amount of on-shore and near-shore (e.g., Canada and Mexico) manufacturing. Trump’s greatest strengths during his presidency was to encourage legislation that promoted that reshoring, including positioning Mexico as a preferred economic partner. Quite a trick.
All of that, coupled with Biden’s inexorable march to dementia, is enough to push independents — like me — to Trump in large numbers. The Dems have basically given up hope that Biden will drop out.
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[quote quote=8598]Today’s polls all show Biden with a lead. Even Harris has a lead, which is surprising to me. It is an NPR poll, but still.[/quote]
I don’t think that’s accurate. The NPR poll is reflected as one of 15 that Real Clear Politics covers, the only one in which Biden has the lead. Two polls have the race in a tie, the other 12 have Trump in the lead.
Be interesting to see the effect of the assassination attempt.
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Real Clear Politics’ summary of national polls in battleground states has Trump with a 2.7% advantage, a significant improvement since the debates. In 2020 at this time, Biden had an 8.8% lead. In 2016 at this time, Hillary led by 4.5%.
2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling
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And speaking of the French, the newly elected Far Left proposes to bring back the “impôt de solidarité sur la fortune” or wealth taxes:
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Here’s the updated list with an additional 57 major companies closing their Union Square/Market street locations. 140 closures in all since 2019.
New additions in bold:
- 24-Hour Fitness
- A Miner Miracle Shop
- Abercrombie & Fitch
- Adidas
- Agent Provocateur
- Aldo
- Alessi
- Alexander McQueen
- AllSaints
- Amazon Go
- American Eagle Outfitters
- Amy Kuschel Bride
- Anthropologie
- Archive
- Arc’teryx
- AT&T
- Athleta
- Babette
- Banana Republic
- Bank of America (brand on 1 Market Street)
- Barneys New York
- Bed Bath & Beyond
- Benefit
- Bloom Room, The
- Brooks Brothers
- California Girl Jewelry
- Camper Shoes
- CB2
- Christian Louboutin
- Cinemark
- Coach
- Coco Republic
- Cole Haan
- Container Store, The
- Crate & Barrel
- Cuyana
- CVS Pharmacy
- Diana Slavin
- Diesel
- Disney Store
- DSW/Designer Shoe Warehouse
- eDressit
- Ethos
- Express
- Façonnable
- Farinelli Decorative Arts
- First Republic Bank
- Forever 21
- Forum
- Gallery of Jewels
- GameStop
- Gap, The
- Goorin Brothers
- Green Arcade Bookstore
- G-Star
- H&M
- Harputs
- Hilton Union Square
- Hollister
- Huntington
- Icebreaker
- Crew
- Jeffrey’s Toys
- Jimmy Choo
- Jimmy Choo Men’s
- Jin Wang Bridal
- Jins Eyewear
- John Varvatos
- Johnny Was
- Jos. A. Bank Clothier
- Journeys
- Klaus Murer Swiss Jeweler
- KPMG – Leaving their $400 million name building
- L’Occitane
- La Cocina
- La Perla
- Lego Stores
- Lily Samii Collection
- Longchamp
- Lucky Brand
- Lululemon
- Lush
- Macy’s
- Madewell
- Makeshop by Brit + Co.
- Margaret O’Leary
- Marlowe
- Marmot
- Marni
- Marshall’s
- MCM Worldwide
- Mephisto
- Merrell
- New Balance
- Nordstrom – Closing all San Francisco stores, not just Union Square
- North Face
- Oakley
- Office Depot
- Old Navy
- Omega
- Ordinary, The | DECIEM
- Paper Source
- Parc 55
- Rae | Costumes
- Ray Ban
- RealReal, The
- Ria’s Shoes
- Rims & Goggles
- Saks Off Fifth
- Scotch & Soda
- Sentiero
- Sephora
- Shreve & Company Jewelers
- Starbuck’s (Two closings)
- Steve Madden
- Sunglass Hut
- Target
- Ted Baker
- The Body Shop
- Theory
- Thomas Pink
- Tina’s Jewelry
- T-Mobile
- Tourbillon Boutique
- TSE
- TUMI
- Uniglo
- V Boutique
- Veo Optics
- Vilebrequin
- Walgreen’s (closed five SF stores in late 2021)
- Warby Parker
- Westfield Mall
- Williams Sonoma
- Wolford
- World of Charms
- Yotel
- Zadig & Voltaire
- Zara
- Zumiez
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It’s odd, the support The Left has made, trying to prop up Biden, for all the reasons that resonate in this video.
Polls currently support Trump, with the exception of the TIPP poll. Puck News suggests that New Hampshire, Virginia and New Mexico (all won by Biden 4 years ago) now have Trump in the lead. Trump leads in Arizona by 5.1%, Georgia by 6.7%, Michigan by 2%, Nevada by 3.9%, Pennsylvania by 1.9%, and Wisconsin by 1.0% as of July 2, 2024.
President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Very curious to see whether the second debate, scheduled for Sept. 10, actually comes off. Biden’s cold will develop into the flu, I suspect.
Supposedly Biden is considering whether to take himself out of the race:
Biden Told Ally That He Is Weighing Whether to Continue in the Race – DNyuz
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New CNN poll, some interesting findings. Shows that Kamala is the strongest Dem contender, but no one beats Trump in the general election.
Most interesting is the last graph, that which asks the voter’s motivation; e.g., “Are you for your candidate or against the opposing candidate?” Trump’s supporters are largely pro-Trump. Biden’s supporters are largely anti-Trump.
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And now drugs, human trafficking, pimping…
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Which raises the question: do they draft Michelle Obama?
I made the mistake of believing that Michelle Obama would naturally and necessarily be much preferable both to all the other Democrat contenders and to Donald Trump in the presidential elections.
Turns out not so much. A DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners indicates that Trump has a 47-44 lead over Michelle Obama. Another March poll had Ms. Obama behind by 7 points, 50-43.
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Agreed re: impeachments, from now until the end of time. Democrats have also legitimized weaponization of the courts system. What are they going to do the next time it’s an election year and the Republicans decide to find a Republican jurisdiction, with a Republican-dominated court, a Republican prosecutor and a Republican jury?
Re: the immunity decision: Sotomayor wrote the dissent, Jackson wrote a separate dissent. Kagan also dissented.
Here’s the Q&A. Sotomayor’s questions are particularly pointed:
23-939_f2qg.pdf (supremecourt.gov)
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Great posts, all. 51 million people saw that fiasco, not including our enemies, who are likely to destabilize as much of the world as they can until the U.S. gets a real leader…which doesn’t look likely until 2028.
I’m in the 25% that runs screaming from both candidates. The Repubs are tied to Trump, and it’s because he now has a compelling lead. The most accurate pollster in 2020 (AtlasIntel) has Trump leading Biden by 5.2%.
As you pointed out, shame on both Lady MacBiden and Biden’s staff. But let me point out…the Dems are a party that hasn’t drifted left, so much as rushed pell-mell to the left pole. Biden was the only electable candidate in 2020…none of the Dems could have beaten Trump, certainly not Kamala Harris (btw, it’s interesting that two Repub congressmen are calling on the Dems to invoke the 25th amendment…I suspect they think that five months of President Harris and/or candidate Harris would be a godsend.
Biden was a moderate Democrat. The party itself has been taken over by the Far Left. None of the candidates poll well against Trump. In the absence of death or (actual) incapacity of the two major candidates, I see only two ways we get a decent president:
- Biden steps down, and the Dems get a moderate. A recent article identified Gov. Shapiro of PA. He ran like a moderate, but he’s governing like a Progressive.
- Trump gets a really solid, really strong VP and abandons the boring task of running the government to that VP.
One minor good result…NATO countries are getting their act together. We’ve proven that you can’t count on America, that we’re on a long, downward slide.
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Legally speaking, Trump has an almost comical number of “outs” for his appeal, but that might not matter. The Supreme Court won’t get involved unless there are Constitutional or Federal issues, and there don’t appear to be, which means the New York State Appeals Court will be Trump’s last, best possibility. They’ve been friendly to Trump in the past (civil fraud case), and they do occasionally issue some bizarre rulings (Weinstein conviction overturned).
Strongest areas for appeal:
- Novel use of the state involved, involving untested legal theory, particularly since Feds turned it down. Basically had to conflate a misdemeanor with a felony, so possible errors allowing the DA to use a federal campaign finance law. Probably his best bet. This is the one area that the USSC might get involved.
- Instructions to the jury were bizarre. They required a unanimous verdict, but not the means used to accomplish it. Basically, the judge gave each juror the choice of three crimes, and they could individually choose which one made sense to them.
- Possibility that there might be issues involving Daniels; e.g., testimony by Daniels was unusually lenient and unduly prejudiced the 12 Democrat jurors against Trump.
- Was there enough evidence to convict?
There are other areas; e.g., timing of the trial, publicity,
Harvard law prof Alan Dershowitz had three interesting observations: first, that the jury was supposed to oversee the biased judge and prosecutor, and they didn’t so they got it completely wrong and rendered a verdict consistent with everyone’s political views. He thinks it was a predetermined outcome, claiming that the judge’s rulings and instructions allowed in prejudicial evidence. Said it was the weakest case he’d ever seen. He also noted that noted liar Cohen was the only one who testified to the crucial fact that Trump knew about it.
Second, that Judge Bragg didn’t want to bring this case and was politically pressured to bring it.
Third, that Dershowitz says it won’t be reversed on appeal. It has to go through the New York system and no New York judge will want to be responsible for overturning this decision.
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