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Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantIMO, Trump is fighting an uphill battle. He is trying to head butt wording in the 14th, twisting to suit his own definition. Courts have ruled on this several times, each time ruling against what Trump is trying to do.
Again, just my opinion, he should accept birthright citizenship for those whose parents are here legally. That would be green card holders, those with visas, etc.
Seems like he would have a shot a winning the argument those who are here legally ARE under the jurisdiction of the US.
Beeg_Dawg
Participant[quote quote=9701]The new mayor Lurie in San Francisco is apparently going to attempt to fix the hash that London Breed (and generations of Democratic leadership) made of the city of San Francisco. He’s saying the right things. We’ll see if he can actually deliver:
- Reduce bureaucratic bloat; e.g., SF has nine homeless outreach teams, five departments that touch homelessness and more than 100 contractors who provide homeless services.[/quote]
This is similar to what I found in Portland/Multnomah County. It is impossible to get more than a close estimate of money spent on homelessness. One contractor is paid $26M annually to remove tents, tarps and hazardous waste while the county hands out over 24, 000 tarps and 6500 tents.
In terms of financial expenditures, a study by ECONorthwest found that more than $500 million was spent on homeless interventions in the Portland metropolitan area in 2023. Best estimate, this is roughly $84,000 annually per homeless person.
Drain the swamp.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantCities with Democratic leadership
New York City, NY – Mayor Eric Adams
Los Angeles, CA – Mayor Karen Bass
Chicago, IL – Mayor Brandon Johnson
Houston, TX – Mayor Sheila Jackson Lee
Phoenix, AZ – Mayor Kate Gallego
Philadelphia, PA – Mayor Cherelle Parker
San Diego, CA – Mayor Todd Gloria
Dallas, TX – Mayor Eric Johnson
San Jose, CA – Mayor Matt Mahan
Austin, TX – Mayor Kirk Watson
Jacksonville, FL – Mayor Donna Deegan
Fort Worth, TX – Mayor Mattie Parker
Columbus, OH – Mayor Andrew Ginther
Charlotte, NC – Mayor Vi Lyles
San Francisco, CA – Mayor London Breed
Indianapolis, IN – Mayor Joe Hogsett
Seattle, WA – Mayor Bruce Harrell
Denver, CO – Mayor Mike Johnston
Washington, D.C. – Mayor Muriel Bowser
Boston, MA – Mayor Michelle Wu
El Paso, TX – Mayor Renard Johnson
Nashville, TN – Mayor Freddie O’Connell
Detroit, MI – Mayor Mike Duggan
Oklahoma City, OK – Mayor David Holt
Portland, OR – Mayor Ted Wheeler
Las Vegas, NV – Mayor Carolyn Goodman
Louisville, KY – Mayor Craig Greenberg
Baltimore, MD – Mayor Brandon Scott
Milwaukee, WI – Mayor Cavalier Johnson
Albuquerque, NM – Mayor Tim Keller
Tucson, AZ – Mayor Regina Romero
Sacramento, CA – Mayor Darrell Steinberg
Kansas City, MO – Mayor Quinton Lucas
Atlanta, GA – Mayor Andre Dickens
Raleigh, NC – Mayor Mary-Ann Baldwin
Long Beach, CA – Mayor Rex Richardson
Oakland, CA – Interim Mayor Kevin Jenkins
Minneapolis, MN – Mayor Jacob Frey
Tulsa, OK – Mayor G.T. Bynum
Tampa, FL – Mayor Jane CastorI like the challenge to Democrats- pick one city and fix it.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantLA has a model to follow if they are smart enough to do so. I doubt they will.
Beeg_Dawg
Participant[quote quote=9661]Heard on KCBS radio this morning that there is another move afoot for California to secede from the Union. The reasoning? Trump and MAGA. How perfect would that be. Become independent and be governed by Kamala. Exactly what the state deserves.[/quote]
California. Staggering debt, ineffectual leaders and a $50M slush fund set aside for the express purpose of fighting Trump, specifically his immigration policies.
Amazing, but making Trump the bogey man directs attention from the real problems.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantKamala is the governor California deserves. 🙂
It astounds me the enlightened voters of 2008- you know, the ones who voted for Obama – transformed into uneducated MAGA sycophants in 2024.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantI saw a clip of Schiff saying he was not interested in a pardon, thought it unwise to do so. I guess it will be interesting to see if how many of those pardoned accept it.
January 19, 2025 at 7:44 pm in reply to: CNN’s Fareed Zakaria advocates abandoning working class voters #9624Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantI guess he didn’t get the memo that slightly more than 1/3 of voters have college degrees. Maybe a winning strategy would be – stop pandering to the fringe groups.
Beeg_Dawg
Participant[quote quote=9620]https://x.com/balajis/status/1881090481217749273[/quote]
Is this why Congress wants to provide Social Security benefits to civil service workers?
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantA story of finger pointing, passing the buck, denial and bureaucratic failure.
Clearing brush requires a $150 fee and inspection- with an 8 week wait. Seriously?
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantInteresting she has legal status but decided to move anyway? Wonder how long it took the AP to find her. No mention that she is not in the demographic Trump wants to deport.
So she went to Ireland, and the entry process was easy peasy. Ireland had 141K immigrants last year, and all time high. The US averaged 183K ILLEGAL immigrants a month since Biden’s election. If our immigration system was not overburdened with processing illegals, it wouldn’t take years to gain legal status.
I don’t believe our immigration system is broken, only the enforcement of immigration law. I also don’t buy the argument we don’t want immigrants. We want and need immigrants that are here legally and contribute rather than consume resources. We are tired of stories about illegals housed in $350/night hotels, the take over of school gymnasiums, special public school classes… the list goes on.
Oh well, it won’t be long before we will start seeing stories about families being deported. If they are here illegally, I will applaud each one.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantOMG, do liberals ever listen to what they say? “But Florida Democrats fear Biden’s move gives Trump a chance to frame their party as beholden to socialists.”
Democrats are responsible for framing their entire party as socialists, it has nothing to do with Trump. Typical of dems negotiating with unfriendly actors, concessions are made with a promise by the antagonist but it never seems to happen. In this case, prisoner release will be “gradual”. No time line, but gradual is not agreeing to anything except releasing prisoners someday.
Biden, Blinken and Company can’t be gone soon enough.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantSo what if they resign? The voters who put them in office to start with are still voting. There is no promise their replacements will be better, and every indication that they will be worse.
Beeg_Dawg
ParticipantAnd in the AYFKM category…Cali is looking at huge deficits and that was before the fires. In spite of a budget shortfall, Newsome and the legislature has come up with $50M to fight Trump primarily on his deportation plan.
Lets see- Cali has the largest homeless population of any state. Cali spends close to $5B annually on homeless programs. Cali’s homeless population has increased every year since 2015 to almost 200k, with illegal immigrants being a large percentage of the increase.
Makes sense to me. Rather than selectively work with the feds to remove illegals, spend MORE money to keep them in place.
https://ktla.com/news/california/heres-how-much-california-spends-on-each-homeless-person/
I wonder if Orange County will turn red when residents wanting to rebuild discover how f’ed permitting and land use laws have become in California.
Question – If your property taxes were frozen under Prop 13, would your taxes go up on a replacement home?
Beeg_Dawg
Participant[quote quote=9541]
It’s longevity. The one that sticks out to me is HW Bush. He led the CIA and had a relatively inauspicious presidency, followed by a quiet post presidency (meaning he didn’t launch the Bush global initiative and seek celebrity…just like his son). I wouldn’t have thought that would score most admired points (and yes, I admired him at times though have revised my view of neocon republicans in recent years.).
Do you think GHWB would have been re-elected if Perot had not run? Clinton got 43.0% of the popular vote, GHWB got 37.4% and Perot got 18.9%. My sense is that he largely drew from Bush, but what do you think?[/quote]
From RCP- “From all of this, you might see an argument forming that Perot did, in fact, cost Bush re-election. But the claim here is actually significantly weaker. Instead, the best we can say is that we don’t know, and cannot know. There is significant empirical evidence, briefly outlined above, that Perot did not cost Bush the election, but that evidence all comes from the universe where Perot actually ran. If Perot fundamentally reset the terms of the 1992 election, then this evidence cannot answer our actual question.”
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/07/10/we_dont_know_whether_perot_cost_bush_in_1992_140743.htmlWe can’t know how voters would have reacted to a traditional two party contest, but in my opinion Bush would have lost due to the 1990 recession. I don’t believe you can simply say Perot supporters came at Bush’s expense.
If Bush would have won all of Perot’s popular votes, he would have won several normally solid blue states and won by a landslide. My point is, Bush would not have won California, Washington, Oregon, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin even if Perot had not run.
Just for grins, here is an AI response to the question.
“The idea that Ross Perot cost George H.W. Bush the 1992 presidential election has been debated for decades. Here’s an overview of the arguments:
The Case For Perot Costing Bush the Election
- Split the Conservative Vote: Perot’s policies, particularly on fiscal conservatism, appealed to many voters who might otherwise have supported Bush. Some argue that this split the conservative vote, weakening Bush’s ability to counter Bill Clinton.
- Vote Distribution: Exit polls suggested that Perot drew more votes from Bush than from Clinton. Perot received nearly 19% of the popular vote—a significant share for a third-party candidate.
The Case Against Perot Costing Bush the Election
- Broad Appeal: Perot’s support was broad and came from both parties and independents. Analysis of exit polls showed that a substantial portion of Perot voters might not have voted at all if he hadn’t run.
- Clinton’s Strong Campaign: Clinton’s campaign capitalized on Bush’s perceived weaknesses, including the economy and his perceived broken “no new taxes” pledge. Many analysts believe Clinton would have won even without Perot in the race.
- Electoral Votes: Even if Bush had received all of Perot’s votes, Clinton’s electoral victory was decisive. Clinton won 370 electoral votes to Bush’s 168, a margin unlikely to have been overturned by Perot’s absence.
What the Data Suggests
- Studies and polls conducted after the election suggested Perot’s voters were fairly evenly split among those who would have otherwise voted for Bush, Clinton, or not voted at all.
- Perot’s presence likely changed the dynamics of the race, but his exact impact remains uncertain.
Conclusion
While Perot’s candidacy influenced the election, most political analysts agree that other factors, such as a weak economy and dissatisfaction with Bush, were more decisive in Clinton’s victory. Perot may have played a role, but he was likely not the sole reason for Bush’s loss.”
I still believe Clinton won because Perot entered the race and forced Bush to respond on two fronts, allowing Clinton to gain momentum.
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