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The Hill calls her Fox interview a disaster. Tedious, unprepared, poorly informed.
Harris loses lead in Nevada and Michigan. Tied in both:
Kamala Harris Loses Lead in Two Swing States in New Poll (msn.com)
Twice as many Pennsylvania Democrats as last year switching to other parties:
Democrats See 103 Percent Increase in Pennsylvania Voters Leaving the Party (msn.com)
Daily Mirror claims that Trump has a 13 point lead in their model. Trump takes a 13-point lead in election prediction model (msn.com) Quinnipiac and Emerson surveys have Trump building support in swing states: New Swing State Polls Show Trump Gaining Momentum (msn.com)
The Telegraph says that liberals are starting to panic.
Liberals are starting to panic. Donald Trump is going to win in a landslide (msn.com)
Best line: 60 Minutes ran a preview of its interview with Harris that prominently included one of her signature no-calorie word salad emissions.
In 2021, Newsom vetoed 8% of the bills. In 2022 and 2023, it was 15%.
He just vetoed a slew of bills and has over 800 sitting on his desk. Big news is that he’s countering progressive initiatives in his desperate attempt to reverse his California decline in advance of the 2028 election. He only has two years left before he terms out and starts to run against either President Trump or President Harris.
Trump now has lead in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. A month ago, KH led in those states.
The forecast shows that while Harris has the lead in four of the swing states—Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania—her lead has decreased in 3 of those states, while Trump’s share of the vote has grown.
For example, on September 2, Harris was leading Trump by 0.7 points in Pennsylvania, on 48.2 percent to Trump’s 47.5 percent. However, her lead now stands at 0.6 points, with 48.9 percent of the vote to Trump’s 48.3 percent.
Donald Trump Flips Three Swing States in His Favor (msn.com)
This morning, Nate Silver touts Harris’ great day at the polls. Good headline. Further down, we read it’s a Quinnipiac poll. After that:
Silver noted that while Quinnipiac polls “have been Democratic-leaning in recent years,” it is still highly rated, and several other surveys in recent days have shown positive signs for Harris.
Nate Silver Touts Kamala Harris’ ‘Very Good Day’ of Polls (msn.com)
Gallup poll came out and had a different result. Trump’s favorability rating increased 5%:
Donald Trump’s Ratings Peak Since Kamala Harris Entered Race: New Poll (msn.com)
Agree with those comments. She put out the bait on a few occasions and he took it every time.
The ABC hosts did everything they could to support Kamala Harris. They fact-checked the Donald but not her. The media, in general, is all in behind Harris, as they would most any Democrat against most any Republican. I’m interested in seeing the polls two weeks from now. Virtually all the media claims that Harris won the debate.
It’s interesting…Harris is an SF/Berkeley far Left Progressive who was considered the most Left Senator by GovTrack, even more left than Bernie Sanders. She has repudiated all of her prior positions:
- Defund the police
- Donate for bail for the MN rioters
- Against plastic straws
- Against fracking (she claims she’s been for fracking since 2020…but she lied, she didn’t support it, she only said at the time that Joe Biden was for it).
- Against off-shore drilling
- Against the American pipeline.
- For decriminalization of illegal border crossings.
- Called for getting rid of ICE.
- Against private health insurance/medicare for all (she sponsored the darn bill, even the left-wing Urban Institute claimed it would cost $34 trillion over a decade, and would have kicked 180 million people off of private insurance)/Single Payer
- Green New Deal (she supported AOC’s version in the Senate)
- Mandatory gun buy-back programs, banning of AR-15s.
- Supporting packing the Supreme Court
- Federal jobs guarantee
According to the media, she successfully positioned herself as the change candidate. Seriously? She was co-responsible for the crappy policies of the past 3.5 years, and she’s the change candidate?
Interesting that her team wants another debate. Either they feel she didn’t really win, or they think they could expand their lead. The media, interestingly, has been saying “Trump probably doesn’t want another debate.” I think Trump has a higher ceiling in the next debate. There’s a lot to fix from the first debate. But I believe that people who aren’t political junkies and objectively evaluate the two candidates conclude that Trump is the less dangerous candidate.
There were a few areas that Harris left unaddressed; e.g., inflation. To me, that’s the signature issue…and she didn’t address it. Second, the 13 flip flops listed above. That’s a fundamental change, values or no…and Bernie Sanders literally stating that “she’s doing what she needs to do to win the election” didn’t help her.
Fox has invited the two candidates. We’ll see if they accept.
At the same time, she’s an SF/Berkeley lefty, who didn’t get a single vote in 2020 (nor did she deserve to), who became the candidate via acclamation versus surviving a mini-primary. She stabbed her boss in the back, pretty effectively too.
Dems are still frustrated at polls that show Trumpa s the more moderate candidate. Dems have been casting Trump as an extremist who is a threat to democracy. But the recent NYT/Siena poll found more voters seeing Harris as too liberal versus those who see Trump as too conservative. This reflects similar poll results in 2016 that found Hillary as too liberal:
Democrats frustrated with poll showing voters see Trump as more moderate
Leading to my final point. If Trump had selected Nikki Haley as his running mate, this wouldn’t be a conversation. He would have won. Huge, huge screwup on his part.
She’ll muscle it through, especially if the Repubs screw up ownership of the House and Senate. Which could happen. JD Vance was not a good pick, there’s something about him that will piss off literally everybody…and Trump’s acceptance speech…concerns me, for a variety of reasons.
I still think he’ll win. But it will no longer shock me if he doesn’t.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory, just my own personal musing and assessment of a few disparate blue state talking points, but…
As I gather, when the Lefty/Progressive/Democratic powers that be confronted Joe Biden and threatened to employ the 25th Amendment to remove him from power (and I think we all agree it’s going to be a rocky ride until late January with him in place), they started talking about candidates to replace Biden, and the two names that led the pack were Gretchen Whitmer and Gavin Newsom. A handful of minor candidates were mentioned, but Harris was not mentioned, and she was monumentally pissed…after all, she was the VP!
She was also the #16 ranked Democrat and first to drop out of the 2020 presidential primaries, for very good reason. Pick your poison…stiff, tart, humorless, can’t think on her feet, crushed by Tulsi Gabbard (and others) in the debates, and above all, not appearing Presidential.
Fast forward to 2024…my…suspicion…is that Kamala saw her opportunity and carpe diem’ed the heck out of it. Either Kamala talked Biden into promoting her in that first tweet or Biden decided to tweak the Democratic party for (in his view) prematurely ending his political career, and this was his way of thumbing his nose at them. Or both. And the KAM Uh luh presidential effort was born.
Harris, to her credit, built a DEI hype bubble to support her rapid ascension into the political nethersphere — given that her Presidential credentials, quite literally, do not exist. At all. At the same time, no self-respecting lefty can turn down a minority female, because we all know the most important thing someone can be is the First Ever (fill in the blank).
Right, that was Alexander Fraser Tytler, often misattributed to Alexis de Tocqueville. “A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury.”
That’s one thing I don’t miss about managing people. The Millenials are…a different group, to say the least. They want praise, and a raise, and promotions long before they’re entitled. I used to manage a group of millenials in Detroit…snarky, bitchy and the single laziest group of people I’ve ever run across, before or since.
Interesting firm, that one. When I led them, we were the fastest growing firm amongst the American Lawyer Second Hundred, about 12% annually. The first year after I left, their growth rate dropped to 4.2%, then 2.3% the year after that. Last year, they grew just less than 1%. My old manager told me that it probably cost them over $50 million collectively when I left.
At my former employer, the new COO desperately wanted to eliminate the DEI chief, as empty a suit as has ever waddled (and not the first choice for the role…not close to the first choice).
Within a year, she got rid of two of my CXO peers, caucasian man, caucasian woman. Caucasian woman was replaced by a much younger woman of color. The caucasian man was so incredibly effective, they hired two people to replace him. THe DEI lead is still employed there.
I had a divisive, terrible employee. Regularly inserted herself into other people’s jobs. Woman of color, not Black. She used to wear micro-mini skirts to work, then complain to HR when the attorneys noticed. At the beginning of COVID, when we had layoffs, I thought “finally! I can get rid of her.” Nope. HR says she has to stay because she’s been compiling a list of nits and complaints, and the firm couldn’t take the risk. An older staffer in another department used the term “wife beater” to describe a tank top, and she just came unglued…but in that “faking it” way.
She demanded a meeting with me, our head of HR and our (prior) COO. She opened the meeting by stating that it is the natural state of human beings to be biased and that I admit that I was biased. I said that I was biased in her favor to the point that she was the highest paid of my entire team. The meeting concluded shortly thereafter.
She was well-known in our industry, I was at my wit’s end as to how I could get rid of her. Finally, one of my peers — a real curveball — took her off my hands. Professionally speaking, one of the greatest days of my life.
My brother attended Oregon State and Lewis & Clark for law school. He had a cool, funky house in a cool, funky neighborhood in Portland. He really liked it. He married a woman he met at Lewis & Clark, but she wanted to return to her ancestral homeland in Carlsbad. So, he left. Nothing like Portland. Not terrible…but nothing like Portland.
If you like the topography and weather where you live, to the point of excluding all others, then by all means, either stay where you are or move to an identical place.
It has been 20 years, dating to the invasion of Iraq, since more Americans thought the nation was headed in the right direction than the wrong direction. The most recent NBC News poll found that 73 percent of voters thought the nation was on the wrong track — and displeasure over the nation’s direction has topped 70 percent almost continuously for the past three years. Never before in the poll’s history have so many voters been so unhappy for so long.
In the latest Times/Siena poll, 47 percent of respondents said they strongly disapproved of how Mr. Biden was handling his job. The president’s approval rating in the latest NBC poll is at 37 percent, by far the lowest for an incumbent president in four decades of polling. But the same poll suggested voters would make their decision as much on the challenger as on the incumbent. That is potentially good news for the Biden camp, which has signaled it intends to make the election a referendum on Mr. Trump.
The Biden-Trump Rerun: A Nation Craving Change Gets More of the Same – DNyuz
San Francisco is losing its downtown Macy’s store as part of a 150-store closing policy over the next few years. 50 will close by the end of this year. They will prioritize investments in 350 stores going forward. Interestingly, they expressed a preference for stand-alone stores as opposed to being anchor tenants in malls.
Macy’s Seen Closing San Francisco Flagship
Macy’s closing stores: Retailer says 150 locations will be shuttered
And the Westfield San Francisco Centre is being rebranded as the Emporium Centre San Francisco. It opened in 1896 as The Emporium. SF Supervisor Matt Dorsey (it’s in his district) thinks an SF comeback is underway. He also noted — cryptically — that “about 1/3rd of the (SF) police department that is supposed to be there isn’t there.”
