rogpodge

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  • in reply to: Some economic thoughts for the weekend #6875
    Avatarrogpodge
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    My uninformed opinion is that Japan style quantitative easing broke the economy in ways that will be difficult to understand. It created a giant pool of liquidity that now searches for a place to go, inflating serial bubbles that at some point will need to be decoupled from the debt that enabled it.

    I know that sounds crazy, but if we keep inflating for political reasons, it will just make the correction to fundamentals that much more painful.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatarrogpodge.
    in reply to: American children suffering in the wake of COVID pandemic #6868
    Avatarrogpodge
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    [quote quote=6864]I was all in until you got to “subsidizing”. I don’t believe people will stop having children without a subsidy. 🙂[/quote]

    This is an interesting aspect of the debate. Part of the reason couples aren’t having children is the perceived economic cost. But people do respond to incentives. The Scandinavian countries have turned to subsidies to try to bring their birth rate up. China will start soon. At this point, a low birth rate is such a negative externality that I believe it should be subsidized through tax policy (not direct subsidy because that just increases inflation).

    in reply to: American children suffering in the wake of COVID pandemic #6863
    Avatarrogpodge
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    *singing* I believe that children are our future. Teach them well and let them lead the way….

    All that aside, the only way a culture or nation survives is by having and raising children. There are many countries that are having a fertility crisis. Japan may cease to exist in a few generations, for example.

    Study after study have shown that having children increases civil engagement and raises the happiness levels of people. Also, study after study have shown that depriving people of the ability / means of having children has extremely bad effects on mental health. Maybe it’s basic biology, but from a policy perspective, society should absolutely be subsidizing and encouraging people to have kids.

    in reply to: Quinnipiac poll has Biden at 33% approval #6860
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: Quinnipiac poll has Biden at 33% approval #6859
    Avatarrogpodge
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    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html

    The IBD poll has him at +2 approval!  Going into his State of the Union where he will dunk all over everyone and finally take credit for the best economy ever.

    in reply to: Seattle, WA – Garden spot of America #6841
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: Boston Dynamics Atlas #6827
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: Mick, just for you… #6796
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: speaker saga #6786
    Avatarrogpodge
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    Party discipline and the Dems mean it when they punish people for non-compliance.

    in reply to: Let the winds of freedom blow. #6764
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: Biden frees the Merchant of Death #6722
    Avatarrogpodge
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    On the Cardboard, there’s a post talking about how the trade shows the relative moral values of the US and Russia, and how Vicktor Bout is now a known quantity and therefore neutralized. All posted sincerely, with a sig line that begins “In 1938, Neville Chamberlain said there would be “Peace in our time.”

    The talking points are pollyanna-ish nonsense. Foreign policy isn’t about the feelings of the parties. We knew what Bout was doing, but we couldn’t stop him until we lured him into a trap. There’s no indication that he won’t simply tap into his old networks and go from there. Maybe I’m wrong, and in the long run foreign policy success is determined by who has the purest motives, but I am cynical about the short term and long term effects of the weakest and dumbest foreign policy administration in my lifetime.

    in reply to: Biden frees the Merchant of Death #6714
    Avatarrogpodge
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    in reply to: Biden frees the Merchant of Death #6713
    Avatarrogpodge
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    It’s a tracking poll, released today. I think people are just so used to this administration that they aren’t mad anymore.

    in reply to: Biden frees the Merchant of Death #6711
    Avatarrogpodge
    Participant

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

    Rasmussen, hardly a Biden-friendly pollster, finds that he’s only one point underwater.

    in reply to: Imagine the outcry if the prior admin did this #6706
    Avatarrogpodge
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    Good summary in this reply.

Viewing 15 posts - 391 through 405 (of 615 total)