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BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantWas I ever defending inflation in 2022? Please point me to those comments. I’ll do you a favor and quote myself:
Biden didn’t do himself any favors and spent too much, as well.
Biden is no longer President. I was critical of him many times. Trump is President now. And he is enacting insane economic policies while his cheerleaders engage in magical thinking, pretending it will all work out fine.
Do you think these tariffs are some 4-D chess move? What happened to the 90 deals in 90 days?
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantWhat does the government sending thugs Newsom’s press conference have to do with enforcement?
Seriously, is there nothing you won’t defend?
Can you not simply admit this is insane authoritarianism instead of engaging in whataboutism and semantics about brownshirts?
There’s really no comparison between what the Trump administration is doing and Antifa. The administration is the federal government. It has the legal authority, the money, the military, the courts, and the police to enforce its will on the entire country.
Antifa is not even a formal organization. It’s a loose collection of activists. They can’t pass laws and can’t order the police or military to do anything. Whatever actions they take, whether it is showing up at rallies, shouting people down, or damaging property, are limited and don’t have the force of law behind them.
Authoritarian tactics from the top down, such as mass detention, politicized prosecutions, civil service purges, and surveillance, can strip away rights across the board. Antifa might break the law or intimidate individuals, but they do not control the justice system.
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantI’m waiting for the update. It’s going to get much worse, but here’s a sneak preview:
I’m still mystified that you guys think Trump has discovered some secret economic formula that eluded the world’s economists for the last 100 years. As if implementing insanely high tariffs is not inflationary.
I mentioned a few months ago that it would take a few months to start feeling it. Economies don’t change on a dime, so to speak. There was a nice dead-cat bounce in the stock market and some of the numbers, as people rushed to stock up on supplies, to weather the storm while hoping Trump would not actually suicide the U.S. economy. Some companies have also been eating the extra costs. But reality will sink in soon. Corporations can’t hold out forever and keep swallowing the tariffs. And the pre-tariff supplies will run out.
Weren’t there supposed to be 90 deals in 90 days? It’s been well over 90 days. What happened to those deals?
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantAntifa was not sent by the government.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantHeadline from the future (probably):
Breaking News October 3, 2025: “Trump viciously attacked the payroll company ADP today for releasing a “totally fake, deep state biased” jobs report, saying “their numbers are so wrong, you wouldn’t believe” and that “never in my life have I seen such a political hack as ADP”.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantCome on Mick. Compare the backgrounds of the Biden appointee to the BLS vs. the guy Trump is expecting to replace her with (E.J. Antoni). Like everyone else in the Trump administration, his number one qualification is loyalty to Trump — not the constitution, not America, not the BLS, or the facts.
Erika McEntarfer was not a Biden loyalist or partisan operative. Her background was as a career labor economist and statistician, with roles at the Census Bureau, the Federal Reserve, and academia. She wasn’t known for political activism or public commentary, and her time at BLS was nonpartisan and methodologically driven.
E.J. Antoni, on the other hand, is not a neutral expert. He’s deeply enmeshed in conservative ideology and media. The guy is literally straight from the Heritage Foundation, Project 2025, and Fox News. Oh, and of course he was at the Capitol on Jan 6th.
His nomination raises serious alarms about potential politicization of BLS data. Color me skeptical that the crap coming out the BLS in the future will be nothing but partisan spin.
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantIt’s not really shenanigans in California, as implied. The independent redistricting commission draws compact districts based on geography and communities of interest, not party quotas. Democrats aren’t crammed into a few cities; they’re spread across most metro and suburban areas, winning many districts by comfortable margins. Republicans are concentrated in fewer rural and inland districts, which limits their seat count.
Independents lean strongly Democratic in federal races, usually by about two to one. With Democrats at 45 percent of registered voters, Republicans at 25 percent, and independents at 22 percent, the math works out to roughly 58 percent Democratic and 32 percent Republican in congressional votes. That advantage lets Democrats win most districts even without gerrymandering.
California’s 43 to 9 split in seats reflects these patterns, not manipulation. The commission’s maps may give Democrats a small natural edge due to voter geography, but it’s far less than the distortions seen in states where politicians draw the lines.
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantI’m sure having a political appointee in there will make all the new numbers trustworthy.
Yeah, I am well aware that the adjustment last year was in August. Tell that to Trump who keeps lying about it — saying it was after the election.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantUS wine market is $109b annually. Canada boycotting US wine growers isn’t that big of problem.
Quoting my prior comment above: “or, alternatively, we will hear why it’s no big deal because (fill in the blank rationale).”
I hope you realize wine is simply one example. Our exports to Canada have fallen precipitously in a number of industries. It is a BIG deal in aggregate and a big deal to the business owners and their employees. If it were under Clinton, Obama, Biden, or Harris, it would be a disaster. But hey, it’s just some 4-D chess by Trump, so no worries.
I can’t wait to hear what else Trump capitulates when he meets with Putin in Russia later this week.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantSpeaking of the Olympics, I almost forgot to mention, “Trump names himself chair of L.A. Olympics task force, sees role for military during Games“.
The IOC is notoriously one of the most corrupt organizations. So of course Trump made himself the chair of the US delegation. He can’t let such an obvious and easy grifting opportunity pass him by.
Might as well throw in a bit of fascism along with it and send in the military while he’s at it.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantNot sure why you guys couldn’t find any explanation. There were plenty of articles about it.
The early survey only had about a 60% response rate versus the more typical 70 – 75%, so the first estimate leaned heavily on a smaller, less representative group of employers. Later responses, especially from small businesses that were under pressure, revealed much weaker hiring.
On top of that, the seasonal adjustment formulas misread the usual seasonal swings in state and local education jobs (summer break type stuff). There were unusual changes, but the model assumed schools had held on to more staff than they actually did, creating “phantom” gains that disappeared once real data was submitted.
The BLS’s birth–death model (of businesses) also added jobs it expected from new small businesses, when in reality many were shrinking or closing under high interest rates and tariffs. That data is always delayed, so there is an initial assumption in the model based on historical data. When the hard numbers finally arrived, they were much worse than usual.
Combined with slowdowns in manufacturing and temp agencies, these issues made the early numbers look far stronger than they really were.
Meanwhile, Trump of course reverted to his normal behavior (lying) and twisted the timeline of the revisions.
Trump has repeatedly claimed that the BLS issued “phony” strong-looking jobs numbers during the last year of the Biden administration, only to revise them sharply downward right after the 2024 presidential election.
“They announced these phenomenal numbers the two days before the election and a little bit before that, always these great numbers … But after I won the election, then they announced a downward number, in other words, to bring it back to reality,” Trump said.
But Trump’s account of how the jobs report revisions were issued in 2024 is wrong. And the true timeline undermines his claims.
It’s true that the BLS issued a large revision to its jobs tally last year: The agency revealed that the U.S. economy added 818,000 fewer jobs than originally reported for the year ended March 2024.
But that revision did not come after the election, as Trump suggested Tuesday. Rather, it was issued in August 2024 — more than two months before the election, and after then-Vice President Kamala Harris had taken the reins as the Democratic nominee.
Funny how the downward revision was totally accurate last year, when they made the Biden admin look bad — literally on the data Kamala Harris was speaking at the convention — but now that they’re revised downwards during his term, the numbers are bogus. I guess the revisions are only accurate when they suit his propaganda.
But have no fear: we no longer have to worry about the numbers. They will always look good with a Trump crony sycophant in charge of them.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantOn related notes, apparently the birthday book is confirmed to be real.
In more related news, Mike Johnson just shut down Congress a week earlier than planned:
The decision to move up summer recess came after Republicans lost control of the floor over bipartisan pressure to vote on releasing Epstein-related documents.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantLooks like a deal was struck yesterday. She can finally say “what really happened”.
https://www.newsweek.com/ghislaine-maxwell-can-finally-say-what-really-happened-says-lawyer-2104150
Let me guess: it was all Democrats, like Bill Clinton, but miraculously there will be no mention of Trump.
Besides a promised pardon, I’m guessing there’s also some NDA and secret payout.
Why else would Trump’s personal defense lawyer be visiting her this week?
I remember back when you all were apoplectic on the original CEB when Bill Clinton met with Loretta Lynch for ten minutes when they crossed paths at an airport. But let me guess: this is all perfectly reasonable and normal.
Not coincidentally, Fox News is barely mentioning anything about this. Meanwhile, Newsmax is now referring to Maxwell as “a victim”.
NO MALARKEY
BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantI’m sure it’s just a coincidence /s
By the way, I posted that right before all the Obama stuff actually happened. So predictable.
Amazing how the sheep will flock to it, though. Trump is a great propagandist. I gotta give him that.
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This reply was modified 9 months, 3 weeks ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
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This reply was modified 9 months, 3 weeks ago by
BeyondThunderdome.
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BeyondThunderdome
ParticipantMeanwhile, I assume there will be some major distractions, like an “investigation” into Obama or some other nonsense. Maybe send the military into several large cities and incite some “libtard” violence, even when people are peacefully protesting.
The best defense is a good offense.
NO MALARKEY
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This reply was modified 9 months ago by
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