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How soon before Trump has Newsom arrested on some Trumped up federal charges? I give it about 12 months. It’s always projection with Trump, so my money is on corruption. It’s probably a long shot, but as Newsom emerges as a thorn in Trump’s authoritarian dream, I’d say the odds go up.
The answer is never. Never, for two reasons: (1) first and foremost, Trump does not arrest or jail his political enemies, despite the fact that his political enemies have done everything they possibly can to stick him with imaginary charges. Apart from Mueller finding nothing amiss with Russia (duh), you had prosecutors literally begging not to be sanctioned over bringing their imaginary charges against Trump. Authorities literally had to tell other NY developers that they were only after Trump because (shocker) when a lending authority asks you to come up with a valuation of your property, you give them the highest realistic estimate. Trump did it, other developers did it, all developers do it. If every developer was charged with that “crime” (which, by the way, the lender said Trump did nothing wrong and the loans were paid off as agreed), then it would have a chilling effect on commerce in general and real estate development in particular.
The Left did precisely what BYT is projecting — they weaponized the court system against Trump. And they’re getting caught all over the place.
The second reason is that Newsom is a profoundly bad politician. He has base cunning (his two best friends in high school were the offspring of the Gettys and Dianne Feinstein/Richard Blum) and he knows how to raise funds and turn a phrase. He pretended that being pro-gay marriage in San Francisco was a brave position. Uh, no. It would have been brave to be anti-gay marriage in SF.
All his policies fail. Taxes have skyrocketed and major cities burned to the ground. Despite (or because of) his idiotic policies, homelessness, drug deaths and crime are persistent problems, 90% of Union Square businesses have gone out of business, large businesses are fleeing California, no one can buy a house, half of California is poorer than Mississippi, and our $98 billion surplus turned into a $73 billion deficit in two years. California politics is dirty, out of touch, inbred, opaque and CA has one of the highest unemployment rates in the nation. You still can’t drive down Highway One. And don’t even get me started with the COVID debacle in this state. I didn’t eat at the French Laundry did you BYT? Any of you? Nope, just Gavin. AYFKM?
Gavin overstated (lied) by 690% the fire breaks he claims that CA Dept Forestry implemented. And Nesom is responsible for the biggest single financial debacle in American history, the Bullet Train to Nowhere. And this guy should be President? AYFKM?
Gas prices are stratospheric. California is thoroughly unprepared for drought, had a dry reservoir in pacific palisades when it burned to the ground. We haven’t replenished groundwater in two wet years. Thousands of felons are being let out of prison early. 2/3rds of California students don’t meet math standards, half don’t meet basic English standareds. Not only did the EDD shut down, they sent out as much as $33 billion in fraudulent claims and the person who ran it at the time wants to be the CA State Controller. AYFKM?
That doesn’t even take into account the fact that he banged his campaign manager’s wife and dated a 19 year old when he was 41, and was married to a prominent Republican.
AYFKM? Trump doesn’t want Newsom in jail, he wants him leading the 2028 ticket…Newsom as the Democratic Presidential candidate would virtually guarantee either Vance or Rubio a 2028 victory. He is literally the worst candidate the Democrats have to offer.
Arrest Trump? Don’t waste my time. Don’t gaslight me with “Trump-will-arrest-Newsom.” Trump wants to prop up Newsom.
I think Newsom’s just trying to scare Trump.
Gov. Newsom is launching a campaign to garner support for a special election on redistricting
If… she wasn’t a dumbazz who slept her way into politics and can barely answer any questions, let alone understand them… She was Willie Brown’s sidepiece, her highest and best use.
Along those lines, that’s what pisses me off more than anything. I get that the whole #metoo movement was against sleazy men who traded sexual favors for career advancement, and many women had careers that were cut short because they didn’t sleep with married men.
Those guys were sleaze, but it doesn’t say much for the women who chose to sleep with the married men. They get zero opprobrium, no grief at all, for taking that step…which Kamala Harris did. Where was the outrage when she was sleeping with the married Willie Brown and where was the outrage when he gave her two political appointments (and a BMW, as Brown points out) based upon their affair? If a male politician did that, he wouldn’t get elected dogcatcher, and might end up in jail. Why is a female politician sanctified to the point that the press refuses to address it?
To me, that’s the dark side of the #metoo movement. Sleazy guys like Harvey W. go to jail. Women who engaged in that behavior…nothing.
Biden goes on and on about terrible Washington DC crime…all the way back in 1992.
Biden once warned of rampant DC crime — in 1992: ‘Don’t stop at a stoplight’ | Watch
Every president has expanded surveillance. Every. Single. One. Republican and Democrat, particularly when means of digital communications is growing exponentially. why wouldn’t they?
Here’s a poll for you: A majority of California voters support the state’s independent commission rather than allowing lawmakers to draw congressional boundaries.
Newsom faces uphill climb in California redistricting push, polling shows – POLITICO
Sixty-four percent of California voters support keeping the commission, while only 36 percent support returning redistricting authority to the state legislature, according to the poll. It surveyed 1,445 registered voters from July 28 to August 12.
I’m sure having a political appointee in there will make all the new numbers trustworthy.
I don’t recall you making that sarcastic statement after Democratic political appointees. I must be misremembering.
Two thoughts.
First, 38% of all Americans identify as politically independent, compared with 22% in California. I rather suspect that if you lean Democrat, you are registered as a Democrat. Too many benefits accrue to Democrats. I suspect that a higher percentage of California Independents are like me: former Republican who leans Republican, though I vote left depending on the issue.
Why? Because if you’re anywhere near an urban region in this state, it’s dangerous to be a Republican in this state, and you know it. You get canceled, you get outed, you lose your job.
Second, your 2:1 ratio is incorrect. It’s 17:13.
6 facts about U.S. political independents | Pew Research Center
And now Newsom says he is going forward with this. Dems already have 82.7% of CA’s congressional delegation with 45% of the registered voters.
Newsom: California will redraw maps after ‘missed’ Trump deadline
And separately, America has a baby bust (overall). Let’s face it, this has been an issue for decades. My great grandfather was one of 13 kids. My grandfather had four kids. My dad had four kids. I had two kids, and can’t afford any more.
Raising kids is expensive, at least to do it right. When my dad had his four kids, he was responsible for those four, plus two stepkids, six total. He fed us, clothed us, housed us, educated us. All while he played golf both days every weekend (he was a four handicap, terrific golfer). My parents basically let us raise ourselves. My single Mom literally did, she gave me a key to the apartment when I was nine, along with instructions for cooking, cleaning and laundry.
When my two kids were growing up, I played golf once a year and got the stinkeye for doing that — even though it was during the week as part of the company getaway day. I spent the bulk of my free time raising, educating, training my kids. Yes, it paid off, both graduated from Princeton. I’d have had a third child, but I couldn’t afford it financially, and didn’t have much bandwidth physically.
Millions of parents like me. Almost everyone I know has two or fewer kids. I know one guy with five kids, and two families with three kids. That’s it. And so…the baby bust.
Spoiler alert: guess which guest delivered Fallon’s highest ratings in two years?
Jimmy Fallon Scores Highest Ratings in Nearly 2 Years After Greg Gutfeld Interview
I think it depends on how the economy goes. If Trump can successfully thread the needle — lower rates, strong economy, rebuilds American manufacturing, saves Social Security, tariffs don’t hurt the economy, etc. — then it will go well. If not…it won’t.
I hate to say it, but it doesn’t surprise me.
On the other end of the spectrum, there’s some interesting information. Per a Fast Company article, 28.7% of LA construction workforce is undocumented, 17.5% in manufacturing, 16% in wholesale trade, over 15% in retail trade. In Ventura County, 70% of farm workers are undocumented. In Santa Barbara County, it’s closer to 80%.
In sum, 1/3rd of California jobs are held by immigrants. I lived for four years in Michigan, where the rate is 8.7%. In other words, if you want your car washed (and you need it in Michigan because of the salt slush), an American citizen does it. Ditto for housecleaning, landscaping, entry- and mid-level jobs of most kinds. Yes, you pay a few bucks extra per hour. Yes, business owners make less. And yes, an expensive house in California is $10 million, and an expensive house in Michigan is $1 million.
Please don’t waste my time with “American citizens won’t do those jobs.” Yes, they will. Yes, a major part of California’s economic success is built on the backs of immigrants, and Californians loooooooove to virtue-signal their virtue in their virtuous support of immigrants.
Despite its prosperity, California has the second-highest unemployment rate of any state in the country, and have been in the Bottom Five for Worst Unemployment for decades. Imagine my surprise.
Zeihan, geopolitical expert, thinks that while there will be no Canadian/American merger, he feels that individual Canadian provinces are likely to secede, particularly those whose taxes support Quebec. Specifically, he mentioned Alberta and Saskatchewan as the first two to go.
He mentions those two because (a) they’re relatively wealthy and (b) have young populations and (c) Ontario and Quebec have the bulk of the population and (d) the other provinces are dominated by aging, nonprosperous people. Therefore, at some point, it would not be surprising to see those two provinces leave. And if those two go, British Columbia won’t be far behind.
The Canadian constitution does not prohibit secession, incidentally. That’s why Quebec had a quorum on secession from Canada, which was narrowly averted by requiring other provinces to pay additional funds to Quebec.
Zeihan thinks it would be too costly for the USA, so is unlikely to happen. Regardless, it’s an interesting read.
Will the US and Canada Actually Merge? – Zeihan on Geopolitics
The big Biden adjustment happened in August, 2024 confirming an 818,000 jobs decrease, based upon the once-a-year benchmark revision. Statistically speaking, it is the most accurate figure. It corrects for sampling errors, business openings/closings missed in the monthly sample and misclassification of workers to arrive at the most accurate figure.
Incidentally, that 818,000 figure was reduced to 598,000. Not as well published.
What made it notable is that the typical annual benchmark revision is less than 0.1% whereas this revision was about 0.3% of total civilian employed.
