[rjnwmill]

With the prospect of four more years of Orange, can local democrats reasonably expect to let the looting and lawlessness continue unabated?

Sorry Dawg, but every time I think it’s political suicide to permit this crap to continue…I think of the “choice” you guys have given yourselves for mayor of Portland?  Voting for one of those two clowns and ANTIFA too?

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

“And what chance is there that the U.S. Supreme Court will act after the fact to invalidate the votes made pursuant to the rules that prevailed at the time they were cast?”

If the rules are on their face unconstitutional, what is the chance the USSC can choose not to act and thereby compromise the influence of ballots that on their face can be proven valid?

I surely don’t know.

The legacy of the “Community Organizer.”

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

My confirmation bias concludes that Stutts is a very, very smart guy!

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

This article by a thought leader suggests to me that our “political pros” remain focused on the wrong things.

“Al Gore graciously departed stage left”?  Yea…when the nine wise souls kicked his can to the side of the road. Still blaming the electorate for politicians problems…Oh my.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Fascinating to me Rocky, is how the Democrat money advantage/media buy is playing out.

The money advantage is clear. The soft touch Biden ads promoting character, unity & “day 1” steps to battle the virus are seen frequently across a broad range of media. To me however the content seems dated. The spots seem as though they have been in the can for weeks, perhaps months; certainly pre debate 2.

Compare that with the Trump strategy. The Trump stump can be, and is constantly adjusted for the audience and the latest news cycle trends. He’s out there hammering on topical Biden missteps in the second debate thats he’s focused and localized, the latest economic data & the fundamental falsity of Biden’s soft character argument.  The Biden “character” thrust was truly predictable and has been successfully parried with a timely and topical response. This last issue has been furthered by Gulliani’s work with the laptop, and I feel inadvertently and significantly furthered by the policy decisions of social media players. Thanks Jack!  BACKFIRE

Personally, I will be thrilled to see the political pros once again schooled by an outsider…in only his second election. Perhaps this time they’ll look beyond their shallow focus on the messenger. Will they question their fundamental business model? Will they question their strategy for opposition research?  Will they fire the fools behind the Russia investigation and the impeachment?  Will they walk on the strategists behind the Kavanaugh debacle? Will they honestly try to understand how they missed the aspirations and interests of a majority of the electorate?  If one agrees that we need a fundamental change in the business of politics, the second Orange win may necessitate said change. He’s running more effectively, at a lower price point and with a much more targeted media strategy that is flexible enough to be “mass localized”. He is the walking talking embodiment of “the Disrupter”.

Tough sledding ahead for democrats?  Will the tired argument be advanced yet again with their donors; “trust me, I know what I’m doing!”  Difficult discussions ahead between nascent partners; politicians, pollsters/turnout suppression strategists and social media conglomerates. “It’s your fault; no it’s yours!”

To further our transition to a more honest dialog we need Barr to kick it in gear and Orange to reorganize the professional and self interested  bureaucrats out of DC. Let’s transition back towards public servants. Blow up/reorganize the staff that has inappropriately influenced our institutions. Terminate the “Vindmans” who have populated our institutions for too many years. Big job Orange. Get your ass in gear and get to work.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Rocky is this a big deal?  Murdoch owns both Fox News and the N. Y. Post. It seems to me the management has made a decision to move the story from a locally distributed media channel to their channel with national reach. That makes sense doesn’t it?  You have a much broader reach for your content while you simultaneously set a subsidiary up as a “victim” of media monopolies and political foes.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

[quote quote=3319]I am voting for you as our next President.[/quote]

please take picture of your ballot before you mail it in. I’ll have it suitably framed.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Rocky, ever heard the old saying, “Life is a very crooked path. You pass the same place many times.”

There have been positives from the pandemic. It has teed up yet again a discussion about the obvious divergence between our global economic interests and national security and economic  interests.  (I think I linked an article on this topic several months ago. I’m sorry to be redundant here.) It is perhaps the critical issue for the incoming administration. You stated it succinctly, “They stand to make companies more profitable by outsourcing jobs and increasing profit margins at the expense of the American worker as Obama and Biden did and Trump reversed.”

Our National economy and security could be sold out to global interests. The consumer is 70%+ of the US economy. What happens to our domestic economy as jobs are outsourced and wages are globalized and reset at lower levels?  The domestic economy suffers. But that is of second order import to folks who mistakenly believe they are building market share in a growing Chinese economy with 1.3 billion consumers.

With the eastward migration of economic vibrancy over the last 28 years, endorsed by politicians on both sides of the aisle, the pandemic has exposed the obvious national security failings of this economic model.

No PPe capacity, no pharma manufacturing, no steel. Biden has once again been comfortably ensconced on the wrong side of the issue…with personal gain replacing tough decisions.

Personally, I’m not too worried about the new green deal. It’s simply a convenient sinkhole that will be exploited by our global competitors…for a time. They’ll simply wait until we’ve enslaved ourselves with debt driven investment folly and then they’ll dictate how the cow eats the cabbage.  We won’t like it much I imagine.

2020 is the perfect time to bring these issues to the fore. Orange is the right man, in the right place, at the right time. Biden on the other hand remains disqualifyingly naive in terms of economic and national security policy…appallingly due to his glaring conflicts of interest.  Let’s test the effectiveness of our self governance model and our institutions.

It is time to tear down our politics and lock up the charlatans who have substituted personal interests for our collective national interests. That is aimed at both the Congress and the Executive branch/staff pukes.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Rocky, thanks for taking the time to publish this missive. It raises the institutional failings of our government and our politics. It lays out the worthy charter for a second Orange administration. One question for you;

“Wall Street is taking down the market to create more chaos even as many left wing terrorist type groups vow havoc in the streets if Trump wins.”

I question if any political actors can meaningfully influence our capital markets. The breadth and depth preclude such influence. We are seeing now that the Fed is near crying “Uncle”. Personally, I see the current market turmoil as a natural outcome from 25 years of wrong headed fiscal policy. We’re in a tough spot that should produce increased volatility in open free markets. I fear this is not a Wall Street “October Surprise” but instead a necessary warning about a new normal. The challenge will be charting a path to gradually retreat from the precipice…and I don’t feel politicians generally and Pelosi, AOC, the Squad, Sanders, Warren, Schumer and Grassley specifically are up to the task.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

What do they do after the election?  Their audience will be surprised, disappointed and will be wondering how this could happen a second time. Not at all good descriptors for a business’s consumers. They’ll likely be asking themselves how  they can be rightly informed going forward.

It will be interesting to see if Bezos has learned any lessons from his ownership of the Washington Post that he brings to CNN.  The Post was in a transitioning media market but had a valuable brand when he acquired it.  AT&T/Zucker have ruined CNN.  It’s a full turnaround candidate now.  Where does he position them and who fronts for him?  He can’t stay with Cuomo, Lemon, and domain experts like Gupta and Struzck can he?

 

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Just released Michigan update from Trafalgar.

Is the rust belt going Orange post debate?

Et tu Florida?

And the democratic governor & Keith “Lets Charge Murder with a Fatal, Self Medicated Dose of Fentanyl in the Victim’s Blood” Ellison now try to ban Orange rallies in Minnesota?  Seem perhaps a bit desperate?

• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.
• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Very nice touch. Did you change into your lederhosen before you posted?

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

GPN, I still believe this election will be decided by the nine wise souls. Emphasis on the “nine”.  Orange is too litigious for it to end any other way.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

The real world shame is that there are far too many democrats in France.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

[rjnwmill]

Hmmm, from Trafalgar:

PA Oct 13- Biden by 2.3%
WI October 19- Biden by 1.3%

PA Oct 25 – Biden by .8%
WI Oct 25- Biden by .4%

Things are tightening. Go Orange Go! He needs one of these states and he has to recapture his share of seniors in FL.

•  My bad. Orange is now up by .8% in PA NOT Biden. Sorry for the confusion.

• This reply was modified 5 years, 5 months ago by rjnwmill.

Here's a toast with one last pour, may it last forever and a minute more;
Good fortune seems to you have sung, to live and love way past long

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